tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30804037107832479932024-03-18T00:43:09.414-07:00股息 現金流 被動收入 理財的心路歷程警語:網友投資,需自己判斷風險,本人不對網友之投資決策負任何責任。Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.comBlogger966125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-25118586687355015132020-03-05T22:51:00.000-08:002014-09-22T03:16:22.391-07:00海外投資,注意風險 (置頂文)<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">本部落格所討論的複委託----</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">美</span><span lang="EN-US"> 股adr ,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">港股</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">大陸股, 新加坡股票, 英國. 日本 股票</span></div>
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<a name='more'></a><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">---(陸股</span><span lang="EN-US">ETF</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">為人民幣資產</span><span lang="EN-US">,<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">港股為美金資產</span><span lang="EN-US"> (</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">港幣與</span><span lang="EN-US">USD</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">連動</span><span lang="EN-US">) )<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">個人強烈建議資產配置</span><span lang="EN-US">, (</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">資金較小的人</span><span lang="EN-US">)</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">以台股為主</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">行有餘力</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">再海外投資</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">因為海外投資除了一般風險</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">另有國家政治風險</span><span lang="EN-US">, and </span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">匯率風險等等</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">何況海外投資成本手續費較高</span><span lang="EN-US">,<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span lang="EN-US">so</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">海外投資</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">需視個人需要而定</span><span lang="EN-US">,<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<br /></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">個人不相信在台股賺不到錢</span><span lang="EN-US">,<o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">只有 前進美股</span><span lang="EN-US">, adr ,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">港股</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">大陸股市</span><span lang="EN-US">,才</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">賺得到錢的這種論調,</span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">個人也不認同,一直鼓勵別人(不計個人資產大小,英文能力高低)引導向海外投資的做法。</span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br /></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">我願意</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">再一次用</span><span lang="EN-US">ymbis</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">心得</span><span lang="EN-US"> ,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">跟各位(要建立台股投資組合)的網友 分享</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15.199999809265137px; line-height: 26.399999618530273px;">:分散持有</span><span style="background-color: white; color: green; font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15.199999809265137px; line-height: 26.399999618530273px;">長期都配息.有穩定EPS,股本不太增加</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15.199999809265137px; line-height: 26.399999618530273px;">的個股</span><br style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15.199999809265137px; line-height: 26.399999618530273px;" /><br style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15.199999809265137px; line-height: 26.399999618530273px;" /><span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 15.199999809265137px; line-height: 26.399999618530273px;"> 或是乾脆(用外幣)買債基~~0050~~0056~~</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><a href="http://www.moneydj.com/forum/showtopic-29354-1191.aspx">http://www.moneydj.com/forum/showtopic-29354-1191.aspx</a></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com192tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-22075998770316643592019-03-11T17:30:00.000-07:002016-02-04T04:54:27.351-08:00股息 現金流 被動收入理財的心路歷程 (序文) : 現金流 vs 資產配置<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<span lang="EN-US">2008</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年的金融風暴</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/02/blog-post_27.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/02/blog-post_27.html</a></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">讓我體會到自己理財的盲點</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">當時在私人銀行下單</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">每次都要求要</span><span lang="EN-US">10w</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">美元以上</span><span lang="EN-US">,(</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">債券</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">要求在一百萬</span><span lang="EN-US">usd,,<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/xxx.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/xxx.html</a> ) ,,,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">當時什麼都不懂</span><span lang="EN-US">,,,,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">理專有新產品就打電話</span><span lang="EN-US"> call</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">我</span><span lang="EN-US">,,,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">我就傻傻的在傳真紙上簽名</span><span lang="EN-US">,,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">上面都是英文</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">也不知道有什麼風險</span><span lang="EN-US">,,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">直到金融風暴發生</span><span lang="EN-US">,,……</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">回想起來</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">當時</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">自己實在十分可笑</span><span lang="EN-US">……,<o:p></o:p></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">之後</span><span lang="EN-US">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">我開始研究理財的書</span><span lang="EN-US">,,,,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">知道資產配置的重要。</span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div>
<div class="MsoNormal">
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-ascii-font-family: Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">資產配置簡單的想法</span><span lang="EN-US">,,</span><b><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "heiti tc medium";"> </span></b><a href="http://wiki.mbalib.com/zh-tw/%E8%B5%84%E4%BA%A7%E9%85%8D%E7%BD%AE"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: #cc0000;"><b><span style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "heiti tc medium";">資產</span></b><b><span style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "heiti tc medium";">配</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">置</span></b></span></a><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">是指因</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">應</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">投</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">資</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">者</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">個別</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">的情</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">況</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">和</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://wiki.mbalib.com/zh-tw/%E6%8A%95%E8%B5%84" title="投资"><span style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; text-decoration: none;">投</span><span style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "helvetica"; text-decoration: none;">資</span></a></span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">目</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">標</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">,把投</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">資</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">分配在不同</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">種類</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">的</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://wiki.mbalib.com/zh-tw/%E8%B5%84%E4%BA%A7" title="资产"><span style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "helvetica"; text-decoration: none;">資產</span></a></span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">上,如:</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://wiki.mbalib.com/zh-tw/%E8%82%A1%E7%A5%A8" title="股票"><span style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; text-decoration: none;">股票</span></a></span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">、</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://wiki.mbalib.com/zh-tw/%E5%80%BA%E5%88%B8" title="债券"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "heiti tc light"; text-decoration: none;">債</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "heiti tc light"; text-decoration: none;">券</span></a></span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">、</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: "times"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><a href="http://wiki.mbalib.com/zh-tw/%E6%88%BF%E5%9C%B0%E4%BA%A7" title="房地产"><span style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; text-decoration: none;">房地</span><span style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "helvetica"; text-decoration: none;">產</span></a></span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">及</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: "times"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><a href="http://wiki.mbalib.com/zh-tw/%E7%8E%B0%E9%87%91" title="现金"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "heiti tc light"; text-decoration: none;">現</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="background: white; color: #173abd; font-family: "heiti tc light"; text-decoration: none;">金</span></a></span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">等,在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">獲</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">取理想回</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">報</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">之</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">餘</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">,把</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "helvetica";">風險減</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #333333; font-family: "kaiti sc black";">至最低。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 12pt;">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Times; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Times;">配置的資產</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 12pt;">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Times; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Times;">再利用</span><span style="font-family: "heiti tc light"; font-size: 12pt;">馬</span><span style="font-family: "heiti tc light"; font-size: 12pt;">科</span><span style="font-family: "heiti tc light"; font-size: 12pt;">維</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 12pt;">茨的</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 300%; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: major-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: major-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: major-latin;">但是</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 300%;">2008</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 300%; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: major-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: major-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: major-latin;">年的金融風暴</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 300%;">,</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 300%; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: major-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: major-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: major-latin;">把資產配置的理論都打破。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 300%;">,</span><span style="font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 300%;">在<span lang="EN-US">2008</span>年<span lang="EN-US">,</span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 300%; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;">股債不是蹺蹺板一漲一跌<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>而是全面下跌<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>無論你再怎麼<span lang="EN-US">
rebalance ,,</span>到最後所有資產都暴跌<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>所以就有了所謂的戰略性資產配置<span lang="EN-US">,,,,</span>後來又發展成相對強勢的資產配置法<span lang="EN-US">(google search
allanlin998 +</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">R</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">elative strength</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "microsoft tai le"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">(</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">相</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">對強</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">弱</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">勢資產</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">配置</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "microsoft tai le"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">)</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 12.0pt; font-weight: normal; line-height: 300%;">
tactical asset allocation <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/02/elative-strength-tactical-asset.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/02/elative-strength-tactical-asset.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></h3>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;">但是這些想法<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>長期實行<span lang="EN-US"> ,</span>都有點困難<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>因為你把錢放在資產配置中<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>是利用對過去所有的歷史資料分析<span lang="EN-US">,</span>平均值<span lang="EN-US">,</span>標準差<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>希望自己的資產在十年<span lang="EN-US">,</span>二十年<span lang="EN-US">,</span>三十年後<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>能夠如現在的預算一樣<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>複利增長<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>但是過去的經驗<span lang="EN-US">,</span>一定會在未來實現嗎<span lang="EN-US">?</span>人性是否可以熬得過過這麼長的時間<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>又誰能夠保證過去的標準差跟平均值可以適用於未來<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>你這麼有把握在退休的時候<span lang="EN-US">,</span>你不會碰到大股災<span lang="EN-US">,??,,</span>讓您血本無歸沒法退休!!<span lang="EN-US">,,,,,,</span>這個問題讓我想了很久<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>我最後也決定他不適用於我<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>因為這些資產配置到最後<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>不管漲跌<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>都是數字上的遊戲<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>你把所有的希望<span lang="EN-US">,</span>都寄托在明天<span lang="EN-US">,, </span>誰也沒有把握<span lang="EN-US">,</span>是明天先到或是無常先到啊<span lang="EN-US">?<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;">這個時候<span lang="EN-US">,</span>現金流的觀念<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>就為我打開了另一扇窗<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>理論上來說<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>只要我的資產分配在可以產生收益的商品<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>當被動的收入超過你的生活所需<span lang="EN-US">(or </span>工作所得<span lang="EN-US">),,</span>你就財務自由了<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>也就是說你可以跟你的惡老闆<span lang="EN-US">,</span>說拜拜了<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>遊山玩水<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>作義工<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>就算<span lang="EN-US">,</span>你沒有退休<span lang="EN-US">,</span>你的工作態度也會改變<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>反正自己給自己加薪<span lang="EN-US">,</span>自己給自己鼓勵<span lang="EN-US">,</span>不必在乎別人的觀點<span lang="EN-US">,,(</span>例如投資一百萬中華電<span lang="EN-US">,</span>一年可有五六萬股息<span lang="EN-US">,</span>相當於一個月給你加薪五千<span lang="EN-US">,<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;">當你有一千萬買中華電信時<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>相當一個月就有五萬的薪水<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>這種觀念實在讓人十分興奮<span lang="EN-US">,</span>和十分具體<span lang="EN-US">,,wow,,</span>原來我不必再想像 未來的富足<span lang="EN-US">,,, </span>當下<span lang="EN-US">,</span>就可以享受生活和工作<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>我可以不是為了生活才來工作<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>我是可以為了我的興趣要做任何事情<span lang="EN-US">,,,,,,</span>這種財務自由的感覺<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>給人很大的安全感<span lang="EN-US">, </span>和生命的省思<span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_2.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_2.html</a>,,</span>會打破<span lang="EN-US">,</span>以往追求數字上虛幻財富的思考窠臼<span lang="EN-US">,,---</span>帶來小小開悟的狂喜<span lang="EN-US">…</span>當然中華電只是一個舉例<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>我們就是要找這一種穩定的獲利的公司<span lang="EN-US">(</span>林茂昌先生稱為債券式股票<span lang="EN-US">),,</span>將我們的資產分散<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>一路分散在十種<span lang="EN-US">,</span>二十種<span lang="EN-US">,</span>像中華電信的公司<span lang="EN-US">,</span>萬一<span lang="EN-US">,</span>一家倒閉<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>每個月的被動收入只少
百分之十<span lang="EN-US"> (</span>五<span lang="EN-US">),,,,,,</span>我們的生活仍然沒有影響<span lang="EN-US">,,,,, (</span>而市場上追逐的熱門股<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>對我就失去吸引力了<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>因它會暴漲<span lang="EN-US">,</span>就可能暴跌<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>讓你血本無歸<span lang="EN-US">..) <o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;">這種為被動收入的理財目標<span lang="EN-US">,</span>就變得相當具體<span lang="EN-US">,</span>而且使人動機強烈<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>你可以<span lang="EN-US">google</span>一下部落格</span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_17.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_17.html</a></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US">,</span>香港 ,新加坡網友<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>們都會把被動收入的數字<span lang="EN-US">,</span>寫很明確<span lang="EN-US">(</span>有時數目實在很少<span lang="EN-US">,</span>但他們也不怕別人笑<span lang="EN-US">,</span>很誠實記錄在網路<span lang="EN-US">),</span>比如說他們會記錄一年有多少股息<span lang="EN-US">,so</span>平均一個月有多少的被動收入<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>然後志同道合的朋友<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>都會留言<span lang="EN-US">,</span>說加油加油<span lang="EN-US">,</span>大家加油<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>一起為對方打氣<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>這樣的投資理財才有意義<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>一味地追求未來<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>而不把握當下<span lang="EN-US">,</span>每次下單<span lang="EN-US">,</span>都想 幾倍的獲利<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>這樣的想法<span lang="EN-US">,</span>實際嗎<span lang="EN-US">?,,,</span>我追求的股息現金流<span lang="EN-US">, </span>就是林茂昌先生所說<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>買一張股票<span lang="EN-US">,</span>等於投資一家公司<span lang="EN-US">,</span>這是一個正合的遊戲<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>而在市場上追求價差<span lang="EN-US">,</span>是零和遊戲<span lang="EN-US">,</span>可遇而不可求<span lang="EN-US">,</span>以收股息的觀點出發<span lang="EN-US">,</span>對你來說<span lang="EN-US">,</span>投資這件事就不是很困難的事<span lang="EN-US">,</span>尤其對我這個金融門外漢來說<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>研究報表<span lang="EN-US">,</span>財務分析<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>不但耗費時間<span lang="EN-US">,</span>而且我很懷疑<span lang="EN-US">,</span>這麼專業的東西<span lang="EN-US">,</span>被一個不專業的人研究。我所得到的<span lang="EN-US">,</span>可能是一個與事實相反的結論 <span lang="EN-US">, </span>對一個散戶來說<span lang="EN-US">,</span>正如林茂昌先生所言<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>你只要用常識判斷<span lang="EN-US">,</span>找出債券式的股票<span lang="EN-US"> (</span>穩定獲利<span lang="EN-US">) </span>最好是龍頭股<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>而這個龍頭股就有技術<span lang="EN-US">,</span>。人脈<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>還有各種的優勢<span lang="EN-US">,</span>來應付各種危機<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>我們要做的就是信任專業<span lang="EN-US">,,and </span>等待時機<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>在大家不看好他的時候<span lang="EN-US">,</span>伺機買入<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>長期收息<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>當大家瘋狂看好他的時候<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>伺機賣出<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>我不是不愛價差<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>但我不強求<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>我的目標在股息<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>比較有把握達成<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>你的目標在價差<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>那就得看看老天的臉色了<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>若是你對選股<span lang="EN-US">,</span>還是有疑慮<span lang="EN-US">,..</span>香港王澤基教授也教導我們<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>不要去理會個股了<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>因依學理上來說<span lang="EN-US">,</span>長期投入一個經濟體<span lang="EN-US">,</span>已經證實會有回報<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>所以他一直強調要買<span lang="EN-US">2800.hk
(0050 for Taiwan),</span>而且也教散戶用<span lang="EN-US"> acpe (3y)</span></span><br />
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<span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/acpe-3y-update-2013-feb-2800hk.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/acpe-3y-update-2013-feb-2800hk.html</a><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/acpe-3y-k-2800hk.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/acpe-3y-k-2800hk.html</a><br />
<br /></div>
<!--EndFragment--><span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;">你就可以危機入市<span lang="EN-US">,,,</span>輕鬆地<span lang="EN-US">,</span>享受經濟的成長<span lang="EN-US">..(</span>他也認為不必花太多時間在投資上<span lang="EN-US">,</span>散戶就是要認真工作<span lang="EN-US">,</span>實實在在地生活<span lang="EN-US">) ,,,
</span>我認為這些想法<span lang="EN-US">,</span>對我都十分受用<span lang="EN-US">,,,,</span>也誠懇地把我三腳貓的工夫<span lang="EN-US">,</span>在網路上分享<span lang="EN-US">,</span>野人獻曝<span lang="EN-US">,</span>班門弄斧<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>給大家信心<span lang="EN-US">,</span>原來<span lang="EN-US">allanlin</span>實驗過<span lang="EN-US">,</span>用這麼簡單的想法就可賺錢了<span lang="EN-US">,</span>而不必在一堆財務數字中打滾<span lang="EN-US"> (</span><span style="color: red;">我要強調<span lang="EN-US">,</span>是我不懂財務報表<span lang="EN-US">,,,,</span>而不是批評懂財務報表<span lang="EN-US">,</span>的人<span lang="EN-US">,,</span>不要誤解</span><span lang="EN-US"><span style="color: red;">……</span>)<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;">最後<span lang="EN-US">,</span>我想再次引用<span lang="EN-US"> Nicholas </span>的分享 <span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/from-nicholas-chen.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/from-nicholas-chen.html</a> </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"> <o:p></o:p></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體;">祝大家早日財務自由</span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">
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<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/blog.html" style="color: #d52a33; font-stretch: normal; text-decoration: none;">Blog 地圖---- 現金流的資產配置, 艾倫的理財奇妙旅程</a></h3>
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<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/blog.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/blog.html</a><br />
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<span style="font-size: small;"><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-weight: normal;">1.我知</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-weight: normal;">誰</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-weight: normal;">掌管明天</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-weight: normal;">(</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-weight: normal;">苦</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-weight: normal;">難,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-weight: normal;">是上帝祝福的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-weight: normal;">偽裝)--- Don't Worry, Be
Happy<o:p></o:p></span></span></span></h3>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";"> <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/dont-worry-be-happy.html"> http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/dont-worry-be-happy.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">2.股息</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";"> 現</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">金流</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";"> </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">被</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">動</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">收入</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";"> ---How much is enough
?----</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">一</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">輩</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">子</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">你</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">賺</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">多少</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">錢</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">才</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">夠?<o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"> <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/how-much-is-enough.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/how-much-is-enough.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">3.現</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">金股息殖利率法</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">----長</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">期投</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">資</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">心法</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";"> , Grace </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">愛</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">心</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: "times";"><o:p> </o:p></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_20.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_20.html</a></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">4.股息殖利率法</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">,現</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">金流</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">被</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">動</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">收入</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">---(</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">施</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">與</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">受</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">) </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">是上帝在服</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">務</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">上帝</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">,,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">是上帝在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">給</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">予上帝的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">---</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">而你</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";">並</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold";">不存在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia";"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: "times";"><o:p> </o:p></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_24.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_24.html</a></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">5.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">
<span style="font-size: small;">以收股息(現金流)為主的心法, 改變了我的人生</span></span></h3>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_2.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_2.html</a></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">6.股息殖利率的觀念---強烈推薦此二書</span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/02/blog-post_27.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/02/blog-post_27.html</a></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc regular"; font-size: 16.5pt;">7 相</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">對</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc regular"; font-size: 16.5pt;">挫折</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">---</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">樂</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc regular"; font-size: 16.5pt;">活</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">買</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc regular"; font-size: 16.5pt;">股票的方法</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/04/blog-post_476.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/04/blog-post_476.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">8.<span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">VALE VS VALE.P (II) </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">巴西淡水河谷的普通股</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"> VS </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">特</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">別</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">股</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"> ----</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">預測</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">有用</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">嗎??</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">再介</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">紹</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">一次</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"> </span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">巴小智大的心</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">法</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/07/vale-vs-valep-ii-vs.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/07/vale-vs-valep-ii-vs.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">9. <span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">財務</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">自由</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">---- cash flow rich vs asset rich</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/08/cash-flow-rich-vs-asset-rich.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/08/cash-flow-rich-vs-asset-rich.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">10. <span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">0050.tw (0056.tw),</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">年化</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">報</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">酬率</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">… </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">提高殖利率的方法</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">---</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">一生三</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">錢過</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">四</span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">關</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/07/0050tw-0057tw.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/07/0050tw-0057tw.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">11.<span style="font-family: "apple ligothic medium"; font-size: 14pt;">如何</span><span style="font-family: "apple ligothic medium"; font-size: 14pt;">評</span><span style="font-family: "apple ligothic medium"; font-size: 14pt;">估<span lang="EN-US">(</span>恆生<span lang="EN-US">)</span>指</span><span style="font-family: "apple ligothic medium"; font-size: 14pt;">數<span lang="EN-US">--- PER.. PBR , DIVIDEND YIELD</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 14pt;">—</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: "apple ligothic medium"; font-size: 14pt;">2800.HK</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: "apple ligothic medium"; font-size: 14.0pt;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/08/per-pbr-dividend-yield2800hk_26.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/08/per-pbr-dividend-yield2800hk_26.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">12. <span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">從</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"> MSCI EUROPE SHILLER PE
---- </span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">看中</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">國 </span><span style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "儷宋 pro"; font-size: 16.5pt;">香港</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"> PER</span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/08/msci-europe-shiller-pe-per.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/08/msci-europe-shiller-pe-per.html</a><o:p></o:p></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: 新細明體;">13.</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">股票是高</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">風險資產,,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">大家要量力而</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">為,,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">注意</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">資產</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">配置</span><br />
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<span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">0050.tw 買賣點--- </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">用台股大</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">盤</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">上市股</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">價淨</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">值比</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">..</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">比</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">較</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">好</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;"> (II)<o:p></o:p></span></h3>
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<span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://www.blogger.com/0050.tw%20%E8%B2%B7%E8%B3%A3%E9%BB%9E---%20%E7%94%A8%E5%8F%B0%E8%82%A1%E5%A4%A7%E7%9B%A4%E4%B8%8A%E5%B8%82%E8%82%A1%E5%83%B9%E6%B7%A8%E5%80%BC%E6%AF%94..%E6%AF%94%E8%BC%83%E5%A5%BD%20(II)%20%20http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/06/0050tw-ii.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/06/0050tw-ii.html </a><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<br />
16,<span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">利空</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">買個</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">股有</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">風險, 買ETF會讓</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc bold"; font-size: 16.5pt;">你很高</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">興---- 2800.hk. 0050.tw</span><br />
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<span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/09/etf-2800hk.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/09/etf-2800hk.html</a><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<br />
<br />
17.<span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt;">利用泰</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">國證</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt;">交所</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"> set50 PBR ---</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt;">港股</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"> </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt;">易</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">亞</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt;">泰</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">國(SET50) ETF</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "zapf dingbats"; font-size: 16.5pt;">〈</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">3069.HK</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "zapf dingbats"; font-size: 16.5pt;">〉</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;"> 買賣</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt;">策略</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">,, EXCEL </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt;">河流</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt;">圖</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt;">的做法</span><br />
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<span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">恭</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">賀 shiller </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">教授</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">獲</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">得</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">諾貝爾經濟學獎-- </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">恒生指</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">數 hsi </span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">河流</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">圖</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "kaiti sc black"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">提供下</span><span lang="EN-US" style="color: #d52a33; font-family: "georgia"; font-size: 16.5pt; font-weight: normal;">載<o:p></o:p></span></h3>
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<span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/10/shiller-hsi.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/10/shiller-hsi.html</a><o:p></o:p></span><br />
<br />
<br />
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<span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">財富的定義
專注現金流的理財觀</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
(</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">股息殖利率法</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可以克服人性的缺點</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">行為財務學
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">behavior
finance)</span></span></span></span></span></span></h3>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/12/behavior-finance.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/12/behavior-finance.html</a></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<h3 class="cjk">
<span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">WILLIAM
BERNSTEIN </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">智慧型資產配置</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">--
,, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">動態資產配置比較好</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">--
IS BETTER THAN (BUY AND HOLD + rebalance )</span></span></span></span></span></span></h3>
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<br />
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/12/william-bernstein-is-better-than-buy.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/12/william-bernstein-is-better-than-buy.html</a></span><br />
<br />
<br />
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</h3>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><u><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETF
</span></u></span></span></span></span></a></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><u><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的價值投資法</span></span></span></span></u></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><u><span style="font-weight: normal;">----
</span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><u><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">利用國家指數
</span></span></span></span></u></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><u><span style="font-weight: normal;">PER
.PBR, DIVIDEND YIELD ..MSCI COUNTRY INDEX </span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><u><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">曾氏通道</span></span></span></span></u></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><u><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><u><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">買賣
</span></span></span></span></u></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><u><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETF
(</span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><u><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">基金</span></span></span></span></u></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><u><span style="font-weight: normal;">)
</span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><u><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">策略</span></span></span></span></u></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><u><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></u></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><u><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">以歐洲基金為例</span></span></span></span></u></span></a></h3>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/etf-per-pbr-dividend-yield-msci-country.html</a></span><br />
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<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/03/tivo-alpha-168-fb-acpe-or-etf.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/03/tivo-alpha-168-fb-acpe-or-etf.html</a></div>
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<!--EndFragment-->Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com77tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-85297591477005337352018-10-17T20:51:00.000-07:002016-03-29T16:59:27.522-07:00Blog 地圖---- 現金流的資產配置, 艾倫的理財奇妙旅程<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 艾倫最近看到之前計劃的書本文件</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 驚訝的發現</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 我部落格的文章全部被刪除</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 所以我決定製作這個部落格地圖</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 給有興趣研究現金流的網友參考</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 這些 想法</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 對我來講都是價值千萬億萬</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 當然也希望能夠對各位親愛的網友也是價值千萬 億萬</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 這些想法, 跟 市面上 投資股票,快速致富 觀念. 都不一樣</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 這是標準的 正合遊戲, 獲勝的機率最高</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 相反地利用價差交易, 股票槓桿操作, 這是零和的遊戲, 一方獲勝,一定有一方失敗</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">我看到 雜誌報導....很多股票槓桿操作, 選擇權,權證, 期貨.... 可以成為千萬億萬富翁</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 讓所有人眼睛一亮, 躍躍欲試, 也想要用這個方法成為千萬 億萬富翁.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 但是你真的有把握, 學習這個方法之後, 會成為成功的一方嗎? 如果大家都是成功的一方, 那就不會有交易. 有人可以賺錢,就注定 對方要賠錢</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 我看到雜誌報導, 有一個達人, 說他的成功率只有40%, 照樣成為千萬億萬富翁, woooooow,,,,</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 這件事情大家可以看一看, 香港王教授的說法 ( 香港王教授在投資銀行,專門訓練trader)</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/09/blog-post_7.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/09/blog-post_7.html</a></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 艾倫專注在股息, 沒有專注在價差, 但是價差會自然來到, 利用這些 正合遊戲的想法, 你不用刻意追求, </span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">不必擔心害怕, 可以真正樂活投資</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 2014 --2015 大陸上證指數的狂漲</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">艾倫 上證指數 sse 2000 買進, (xx 討論區, fb 社團, 我的部落格都可以 見證)</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> sell sse from 3000 一 直賣到5000....</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 這一個部分的資產配置</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> ,長了一倍... </span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">都是利用下面的知識獲得的, allan非常誠懇地把這些 藏寶圖, 送給大家</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 有一個網友寫信給我, 他跟我說他是台北的開業醫師,</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 當時他準備 4000w 準備買台北的店面</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 後來看到我的部落格, 買進香港新加坡的 reits</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 覺得真的好處很多</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> </span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">有稅金的優勢, 免除你的管理煩惱, 按時收到房租,</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 照樣可以對沖通膨,</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 有空的時候還可以賺價差......</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 他說他覺得很讚, allan 也覺得很讚, </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">allan 也是這些想法的受益者</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">allan 要真心誠意地把這 藏寶圖.送給親愛的網友</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 也要祝福大家</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">心想事成</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 吉祥圓滿</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">Blog
</span>地圖<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---- </span>現金流的資產配置<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>艾倫的理財奇妙旅程</div>
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置頂<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---
</span>香港王教授的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">youtube
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/09/blog-post_7.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/09/blog-post_7.html</a></span></div>
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前言<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---
</span>歡迎加入財務自由的 烏托邦<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(</span>理想國度<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)----</span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/sirens-song.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/sirens-song.html</a></span></div>
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<ol>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
現金流為主要想法的資產配置</div>
</li>
</ol>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
買下一個資產<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>他的現金流會照顧你 一輩子 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(kiawee
</span>兩個圖表<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/vhydl-idapl-vusdl.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/vhydl-idapl-vusdl.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
專注在股息 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(</span>現金流<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">),
</span>不要專注在價差</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/05/freebbs-httpallanlin998freebbstwforumdi.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/05/freebbs-httpallanlin998freebbstwforumdi.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/12/behavior-finance.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/12/behavior-finance.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">a.
</span>艾倫的理財奇妙旅程</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/vs_11.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/vs_11.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">b.
</span>資產的富有 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">vs
</span>現金流的富有</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/08/cash-flow-rich-vs-asset-rich.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/08/cash-flow-rich-vs-asset-rich.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<ol start="100" type="i">
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">0
</span>成本<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>讓股息殖利率無限大</div>
</li>
</ol>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_20.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/blog-post_20.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/07/0050tw-0057tw.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/07/0050tw-0057tw.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<ol start="2">
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
現金流的主要工具</div>
</li>
</ol>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">----
</span>國內證券公司複委托<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>海外交易的好處</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/09/blog-post_2.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/09/blog-post_2.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E8%A4%87%E5%A7%94%E6%89%98#uds-search-results">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E8%A4%87%E5%A7%94%E6%89%98#uds-search-results</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">a.
</span>當公司的老闆<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">-----</span>股票
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">dividend </span>圖片<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/09/ptus.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/09/ptus.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
放棄<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">buy
</span>個別股票<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/etf.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/etf.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/buy-etf-luodanny-allanelder-force-index.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/buy-etf-luodanny-allanelder-force-index.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">Etf
</span>為主要的資產配置<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>英國倫敦股市<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">:
justetf.com---- </span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/etf.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/etf.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
新加坡股市—<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">step
by step</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=step">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=step</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">b.
</span>借錢給別人<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---bond
----- </span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">bond
vs bond fund </span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/vs-etf.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/vs-etf.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
投資等級<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">bond
and </span>高收益債卷<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---
</span>違約率<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">vs </span>回復率</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/10/blog-post_17.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/10/blog-post_17.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/03/rolling-return-agdcx.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/03/rolling-return-agdcx.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
高收益債卷是垃圾<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">??</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/reits.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/reits.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<ol start="100" type="i">
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
當房東<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>收房租<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">reits--- reits
</span>評估的方法和種類</div>
</li>
</ol>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E8%B2%B7%E6%88%BF%E6%94%B6%E7%A7%9F">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E8%B2%B7%E6%88%BF%E6%94%B6%E7%A7%9F</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
美國<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">reits</span>的評估<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">--
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=reit.com">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=reit.com</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
新加坡<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">reits
</span>的評估<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">--
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/10/reits.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/10/reits.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/ftse-sigapore-reits-index-35-years-reits.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/01/ftse-sigapore-reits-index-35-years-reits.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/06/reits-reits.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/06/reits-reits.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/03/sti-reits-ascott-reits.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/03/sti-reits-ascott-reits.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">hk
sg uk reits list</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/excel-tivo-ae2-macd-95.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/excel-tivo-ae2-macd-95.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
香港<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">reits</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/reits_30.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/reits_30.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">sg
reits</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/reits-reits.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/reits-reits.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<ol start="500" type="i">
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
特別股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">--</span><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">沒有很推薦</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他的位階比較
尷尬</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為他沒有像</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">bond</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">一樣的資產抵押</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">所以主要是要提醒風險</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/11/book-chapter-2-b-httpwwwdividendyieldhu.html"><span style="color: #7d181e;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/11/book-chapter-2-b-httpwwwdividendyieldhu.html</span></span></span></span></span></span></a></span></div>
</li>
</ol>
<div dir="LTR" id="lws_0">
<div style="border: none; line-height: 0.32cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div dir="LTR" id="linkwithin_inner">
<div style="border: none; line-height: 0.32cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
</div>
</div>
<ol start="500" type="i">
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
</div>
</ol>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">e.
</span>封閉型基金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 美國的封閉型基金 <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/step-by-step-phk-gof.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/step-by-step-phk-gof.html</a></span><br />
<br />
英國的封閉型基金<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/12/2014-alail.html" style="font-family: 'Times New Roman', serif;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/12/2014-alail.html</a></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<div style="background-color: #fefdfa; color: #333333; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 14.56px; margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<div style="color: #333333; font-family: arial, tahoma, helvetica, freesans, sans-serif; line-height: 14.56px;">
利用艾倫交易系統,, 選擇權的收益策略 <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search/label/%E9%81%B8%E6%93%87%E6%AC%8A" style="color: #7d181e; text-decoration: none;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search/label/%E9%81%B8%E6%93%87%E6%AC%8A</a></div>
<div style="color: #333333; font-family: arial, tahoma, helvetica, freesans, sans-serif; line-height: 14.56px;">
<br /></div>
<div style="color: #333333; font-family: arial, tahoma, helvetica, freesans, sans-serif; line-height: 14.56px;">
<span style="color: #333333; font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 14.56px;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/11/0050-ii.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/11/0050-ii.html</a></span></span></div>
<span style="background-color: transparent;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-color: transparent;"><br /></span><span style="background-color: transparent;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-color: transparent;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-color: transparent;">評估</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---</span><span style="background-color: transparent;">基本面的方法</span></div>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">a.
</span>美國的景氣領先指標
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/09/blog-post_2.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/09/blog-post_2.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">b
</span>台灣的景氣領先指標 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">mom
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/0050tw-2800hk.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/0050tw-2800hk.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/blog-post_28.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/blog-post_28.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">c
</span>台灣大盤的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">pbr
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/06/0050tw_15.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/06/0050tw_15.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/11/twii-pbr.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/11/twii-pbr.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<ol start="500" type="i">
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
香港大陸<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">acpe
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/06/acpe.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/06/acpe.html</a></span></div>
</li>
</ol>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=acpe">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=acpe</a></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<ol start="2">
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
評估<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---</span>技術面的方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---
</span>五線譜大趨勢<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2
</span>系統</div>
</li>
</ol>
<div>
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/11/ae2-allan-impulse-system.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/11/ae2-allan-impulse-system.html</a></div>
<div>
<br /></div>
<div>
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E4%BA%94%E7%B7%9A%E8%AD%9C%E5%A4%A7%E8%B6%A8%E5%8B%A2+ae2" style="font-family: 'times new roman', serif;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E4%BA%94%E7%B7%9A%E8%AD%9C%E5%A4%A7%E8%B6%A8%E5%8B%A2+ae2</a></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=%E5%A4%A7%E8%B6%A8%E5%8B%A2">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=%E5%A4%A7%E8%B6%A8%E5%8B%A2</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=%20%E4%BA%94%E7%B7%9A%E8%AD%9C">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=%20%E4%BA%94%E7%B7%9A%E8%AD%9C</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/blog-post.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/blog-post.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
空頭的長相<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">----vix
</span>的用法</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/05/blog-post.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/05/blog-post.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/04/vix-hsi-volatility-index-vix.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/04/vix-hsi-volatility-index-vix.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
利用艾倫交易系統,, 選擇權的收益策略 <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search/label/%E9%81%B8%E6%93%87%E6%AC%8A">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search/label/%E9%81%B8%E6%93%87%E6%AC%8A</a></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
附錄</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">tax
withholding </span>表<br />
<br />
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/1531.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/1531.html</a><br />
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.freebbs.tw/viewthread.php?tid=223&extra=page%3D1">http://allanlin998.freebbs.tw/viewthread.php?tid=223&extra=page%3D1</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">hk
sg uk reits list</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/excel-tivo-ae2-macd-95.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/excel-tivo-ae2-macd-95.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
香港<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">reits</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/reits_30.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/reits_30.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">sg
reits</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/reits-reits.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2014/08/reits-reits.html</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
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<br />
<br /></div>
<h3 class="cjk" style="margin-right: -2.02cm;">
<span style="color: #d52a33; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">再推薦一次現金流的想法</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
0050+ </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">台指選擇權
策略 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">傻瓜投資法</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)----
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如何從
美股賺一 億 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(II)</span></span></span></span></span></span></h3>
<div>
<span style="color: #d52a33; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #d52a33; font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #555555;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div>
<span style="color: #555555; font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif; font-size: xx-small;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/11/0050-ii.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/11/0050-ii.html</a></span></div>
<div dir="LTR" id="post-body-6632457139551169462">
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<br />
<div style="margin-left: -2.01cm; margin-right: -2.01cm;">
<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">http://an998</span></span></div>
</div>
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<span style="font-size: xx-small;"><br /><br />
</span></div>
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內容說明<br />
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<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">前言--- 歡迎加入財務自由的 烏托邦(理想國度)----</span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1"> <span style="color: purple;">利用 塞倫 之歌的故事, 說明現金流 策略者的心理狀態, 現金流被動收入的方法,是財務自由的理想國度</span></span></div>
<div class="p3">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p4">
<span class="s1">現金流為主要想法的資產配置</span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">買下一個資產, 他的現金流會照顧你 一輩子 (kiawee 兩個圖表)</span></div>
<div class="p5">
<span class="s2">-<span style="color: purple;">--- </span></span><span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1">用現金去買下 資產</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">資產 有生產力</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">會 回饋你現金</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">這是標準的投資行為</span><span class="s2">( </span><span class="s1">相反的 例子</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">是 利用買賣價差</span><span class="s2">, or </span><span class="s1">購買黃金</span><span class="s2">) </span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">專注在股息 (現金流), 不要專注在價差----</span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p5">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s2">---- </span><span class="s1">現金股息可以預測</span><span class="s2">, dividend </span><span class="s1">差別不會很大</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">可以讓你的投資 心理很穩定 但是價差沒有辦法預測</span><span class="s2">, </span></span></div>
<div class="p5">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s3"> </span><span class="s1">只會造成心理的壓力和緊張</span></span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">a. 艾倫的理財奇妙旅程</span></div>
<div class="p5">
<span class="s3"> </span><span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1">比如說你投資一百萬</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">現金股息 </span><span class="s2">or bond </span><span class="s1">殖利率</span><span class="s2">5%, </span><span class="s1">就可以預測</span><span class="s2">, 1</span><span class="s1">年可以領到領到 </span><span class="s2">5w </span><span class="s1">股息 </span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">如果利用其他的方法</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">如何 做預測</span><span class="s2">? </span><span class="s1">最常見的 資產配置方法</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">是馬可維茲的</span><span class="s2">mpt , </span><span class="s1">利用過去的平均值標準差</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">出來的結果</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">只能 告訴你機率分布</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">結果只能 參考參考</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">正常人對於未來不可知的</span><span class="s2">mpt</span><span class="s1">結果</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">根本無法長期實行</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">b. 資產的富有 vs 現金流的富有----</span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1"> <span style="color: purple;">香港分析師的故事非常的有趣, 同樣住一間豪宅, 你會選擇買下它, 一輩子付貸款, 當作房奴 or 利用你的投資現金流,付房租..... 這兩個方法同樣可以讓你 住在同一間豪宅... 你的選擇是什麼?</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p6">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p7">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p8">
<span class="s1">0 成本, 讓股息殖利率無限大---- <span style="color: purple;">我們從來沒有排斥價差, 但是我們不 刻意 追求價差, 但是價差如果來到的時候, 我們會不斷地降低成本, 最好是 0 成本, 讓股息殖利率無限大</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1"></span><br /></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p6">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p7">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p4">
<span class="s1">現金流的主要工具--- <span style="color: purple;"> 當公司的老闆, 當房東收房租, 借錢給別人.... 以下的內容都是要 對你買下的資產,做 資產的評估, 便宜的時候買,貴的時候sell出去.... 不是一般的buy and hold,,, 也不是盲目的一直 存股票</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1"></span><br /></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">---- 國內證券公司複委托, 海外交易的好處--- <span style="color: purple;">現金流的想法, 利用國內證券公司,付委托最好, 你的 現金股息 自動回到台灣的帳戶, 不需要 匯款費用, 不需要花腦筋, 跟老外打交道 , 要求國外帳戶匯款</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">a. 當公司的老闆----- <span style="color: purple;">如何 用現金股息的圖,對股票做評估, 便宜or不便宜</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1"></span><br /></span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1"><span style="color: purple;">放棄buy 個別股票-- 如果說要一輩子存股票, 只有etf達到標準(vijra)</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1"></span><br /></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">Etf 為主要的資產配置, 英國倫敦股市: justetf.com----</span></div>
<div class="p6">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">新加坡股市—step by step</span></div>
<div class="p6">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
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<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">b. 借錢給別人---bond -----</span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1"> b1.<span style="color: purple;">bond vs bond fund 這個分別很重要</span></span></div>
<div class="p6">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">b2. <span style="color: purple;">投資等級bond and 高收益債卷 fund --- 違約率vs 回復率</span></span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1"><span style="color: purple;">, 我們沒有排斥購買投資等級的債券, but 目前的殖利率太低, 如果像fed 預測2020年美國國債可以到達6%, 一定要記得買一些當作資產配置, 現在這個時刻, 我們可以 利用我們的方法評估,高收益債卷 fund, 達到比較高的殖利率,</span></span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1"><span style="color: purple;"> 順便可以賺價差</span></span></div>
<div class="p6">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">b3.高收益債卷是垃圾?? – <span style="color: purple;">某些 情況來說, 股票更是垃圾... 高收益債卷 fund --- 違約率vs 回復率. 說明了這是 高收益債卷基金, 長期受 污名化</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p6">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
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<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
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<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p7">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p4">
<span class="s1">當房東, 收房租reits--- reits 評估的方法和種類</span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">r<span style="color: purple;">eits 的性質介於股票和 bond 之間, 它可以有相對穩定的 收益, 也可以享受像股票一樣的成長.</span></span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1"><span style="color: purple;"> 新加坡和香港的reits, 現金殖利率比較高, 而且有免稅的優點, 可以成為資產配置的一部分</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1"></span><br /></span></div>
<div class="p9">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1">c1 reits . Nav </span><span class="s4">會計方法和公司不一樣</span><span class="s1">,</span><span class="s4">有三個方法</span></span></div>
<div class="p9">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1">c2 reits --- </span><span class="s4">重要的評估方法就是</span><span class="s1">pbr and dy </span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1"></span><br /></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">美國reits的評估-- 利用green advisor street.com------ <span style="color: purple;">pbr 的圖表評估貴和便宜</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p9">
<span class="s5">新加坡reits 的評估--</span><span class="s1"> </span><span style="color: purple;"><span class="s4">利用艾倫的發現</span><span class="s1">, ftse sg reits index </span><span class="s4">和新加坡海峽指數</span><span class="s1">, </span><span class="s4">五線譜同步</span></span></div>
<div class="p5">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s3"> </span><span class="s2">,</span><span class="s1">悲觀的時候記得買</span><span class="s2">, </span><span class="s1">樂觀的時候賣出</span></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1"></span><br /></span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
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<span class="s1">特別股--<span style="color: purple;">沒有很推薦, 他的位階比較 尷尬, 因為他沒有像bond一樣的資產抵押, 所以主要是要提醒風險</span></span><span style="color: purple;"><span class="s6">, irr </span><span class="s7">的計算</span></span></div>
<div class="p10">
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<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">e. 封閉型基金---</span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1"> <span style="color: purple;">封閉型基金有一些特性--- 1.收益為主, 2 可以利用槓桿操作</span></span></div>
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<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">a 美國的封閉型基金, <span style="color: purple;">雖然dividend有百分之三十的稅金, but 有時收益率還是很高</span></span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1" style="color: purple;"> 但是要注意兩個問題, a 是否分配本金 b 是否 溢價過高--- 例如 phk , morningstar 網站如何查詢</span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">b. 英國封閉型基金, 查詢的方法step by step</span></div>
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<span class="s1"></span><br />
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<br />
利用艾倫交易系統,, 選擇權的收益策略 :<br />
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<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">選擇權的操作</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">根據</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">CBOE </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">芝加哥期貨交易所的統計</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">百分之八十
以上的 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">OPTION,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="line-height: 0.32cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">隨著時間的
結束</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">都變成沒有
價值</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
WORTHLESS) , </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">也就是說百分之八十
以上 的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BUY
SIDE</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">都</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">賠錢</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: purple;"><br />
</span></div>
<div style="line-height: 0.32cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">所以很多人都專心在研究</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">高獲勝率</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
OPTION INCOME STRATEGY </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">收益
策略</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">就是選擇</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">賣方</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">收權利金的策略</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: purple;"><br />
</span></div>
<span class="s1" style="color: purple;"></span><br />
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<span style="color: purple;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;">回歸到選擇權原來的用途</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;">就是為你的資產避險</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;">這樣的想法</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;">會讓你非常的安心</span></span></div>
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<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p7">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p4">
<span class="s1">評估---基本面的方法----- <span style="color: purple;">我們用etf 為主, so 只要利用下面這些長期的指標,評估貴和便宜</span></span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">a. 美國的景氣領先指標 </span></div>
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<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
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<span class="s1">b 台灣的景氣領先指標 mom</span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">c 台灣大盤的pbr </span></div>
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<span class="s1">香港大陸acpe </span></div>
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<span class="s1">評估---技術面的方法--- 五線譜大趨勢ae2 系統</span></div>
<div class="p7">
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<div class="p7">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p12">
<span class="s1" style="color: purple;">a 五線譜就是長期趨勢--- 股票三點五年 bond 三年</span></div>
<div class="p12">
<span class="s1" style="color: purple;">b. 在悲觀的區域或樂觀的 區域 再把它 放大 --- 利用 大趨勢 (中期的趨勢) 決定 buy sell</span></div>
<div class="p12">
<span class="s1" style="color: purple;">c. 在big趨勢 的上下兩條線, 要注意 ae2 index... 利用買賣的力道, 看看是否會繼續上漲或下跌</span></div>
<div class="p7">
<span style="color: purple;"><span class="s1"></span><br /></span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1" style="color: purple;"> 股市一般來說長期向上, 但是假設碰到一個 空頭, 會讓人十分的痛苦, 如何能夠讓我們知道空頭的來臨, 下面這個文章很重要, 就是認識空頭長什麼樣子, 另外 觀察 vix的方法, 也很好</span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1" style="color: purple;"> 我從2013 to 2015 利用這個方法幾乎都買到 波段的最低點, 你不用受到媒體的洗腦, 也不用看大師的危言聳聽, 心情非常的穩定</span></div>
<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s1">空頭的長相----vix 的用法</span></div>
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<span class="s1"></span><br /></div>
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/14569910514369072860" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">蔡博鑫</span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">已針對您的文章「</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/10/blog.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">Blog </span></span></a></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/10/blog.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">地圖</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">---- </span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/10/blog.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">現金流的資產配置</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">, </span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/10/blog.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">艾倫的理財奇妙旅程</span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">」留下新意見: </span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">真可惜,那艾倫大哥,評估</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">---</span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">技術面的方法</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">--- </span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">五線譜大趨勢</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">ae2 </span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">系統,</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">ae2</span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">系統在書中有提到嗎?</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">還是一事,算利教官楊禮軒的新書:「算利教官教你存股利滾利年年領百萬」,艾倫大哥應該也認識吧!</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">這書出版日期:</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">2016/03/28</span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">,想問一下艾倫大哥這書和五線譜可搭配使用嗎?(書還買不到,只是想了解一下艾倫大哥您們平常討論時有講到嗎?) </span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span>很多網友 問我有關 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2 </span>艾倫交易系統的問題<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span><br />
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我可以一併在這裡說明</div>
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我是去年八月的時候<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>離開臉書<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>之後就 沒有跟 網友聯絡<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
算利教官<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>我也不認識<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>他書中的內容我也不知道<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.....</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2 </span>是 我離開臉書以後 思考計算的指標 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=ae2">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=ae2</a></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>就是要為了 解決五線譜大趨勢的一些問題<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>我除了在部落格發表我的想法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>沒有跟任何人討論過 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2 </span>指標<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, so 教授的書應該是沒有ae2 系統</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"></span>我也一直在觀察<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2 system </span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, 目前看起來,ae2 確實可以 解決 關鍵價位, 是否買賣 的問題...</span></div>
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我覺得他的勝率很高<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>這些是巧合嗎<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">? maybe or maybe not, </span>艾倫繼續用真金白銀實驗<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>大家可以繼續觀察下去</div>
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離開臉書以後<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>新書後來的發展<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>跟我的想像不一樣<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>我也寫在我的這篇文章中</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/blog.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/blog.html</a></span></div>
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<span style="color: #d52a33; font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Blog </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">地圖</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">---- </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">現金流的資產配置</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾倫的理財奇妙旅程</span></span></span></h3>
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<span style="color: #333333;"> <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">艾倫最近看到之前計劃的書本文件</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">驚訝的發現</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"> <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">我部落格的文章全部被刪除</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"> <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">所以我決定製作這個部落格地圖</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">給有興趣研究現金流的網友參考</span></span></div>
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大家不要誤解<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>我這樣的說明沒有貶低教授著作的意思<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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因為我也沒看過 教授的書<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">( </span>只有看到類似的草稿<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>只是 我看到的草稿<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>跟我的想像不一樣</div>
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另外<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1 </span>個重點<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">----</span>五線譜 大趨勢 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2 </span>艾倫交易系統<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>適合大範圍的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">etf....</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
個別股票有風險<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>要小心風險</div>
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大家可以查一查網路<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>有人號稱利用宇宙無敵的方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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選擇出來的投資組合<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>投資績效<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>遠遠落後大盤<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">sp500</span></div>
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我預測十年以後<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>投資績效 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>差距會更大</div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
任何選擇個股的方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>還牽涉到資產配置</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
你亂槍打鳥買一大堆股票<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>投資績效絕對不會大於大盤</div>
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這是學術上已經證明過的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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更何況<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>持股只有 百分之<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">30 or 40 or 50….... , </span>投資績效會更差</div>
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不需要浪費時間在分析公司<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>不管你用什麼方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>你怎麼可能了解一個公司的未來<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.....</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
我們只看到一大堆人在網路上討論<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>不懂的人<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.</span>問不懂的人<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">. </span>個別公司的未來會如何<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">?</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
如果這樣可以討論出來<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>那別人一輩子從事哪個行業的經驗算什麼<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.??....... </span>真的不需要浪費時間<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">....</span></div>
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我還是苦口婆心要勸<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---</span>各位年輕的網友<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>要專注本業<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>投資自己<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">..............</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
這是我的肺腑之言<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>希望大家能夠接受</div>
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<br /></div>
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/03/ae2-br-spread-ker-macd-ema.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/03/ae2-br-spread-ker-macd-ema.html</a><br />
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com41tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-1829582446840558052016-04-06T06:23:00.000-07:002016-04-06T07:05:25.616-07:00Money 2016-4 月-闕又上 隱藏版的巴菲特秘笈-- 資產配置最重要<h3 class="cjk" style="orphans: 1;">
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/04515428131866281885" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">S.C
Chou</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/03/debit-spread.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾倫交易系統觀察</span></span></span></span></a><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/03/debit-spread.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">--
DEBIT SPREAD</span></span></span></span></a></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Hello
Allan,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">假設您</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">0050</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">持有成本為</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">8800</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">點</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">那</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">COVERED
CALL + DEBIT SPREAD</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">最高獲利為</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">8800</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">結算的</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">141</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">點</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">若指數跌破</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">8659</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">點</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(8800-141),
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">則</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">0050</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">開始虧損</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">請問結算前指數跌破</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">8659</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">您會怎麼應對呢</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">保留</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">0050,
ROLL COVERED CALL DOWN?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">還是直接賣出</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">0050</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">呢</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">剛學習不久若理解不正確也還請不吝提點</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">謝謝您 </span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">hi
chou:</span></div>
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因為我是希望擁有<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">0050</span>股票<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
so </span>所以我不會停損</div>
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根據目前的價位<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
pbr around 1.5. to 1.6 , 0050</span>仍然是便宜</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3OfQOU7MeWhMeojCQALYKN2cfCEBrKoLBZX2e5x0gqrUpC_v5oKJ2W39O1a3zkejKBBivOFnd5INJkEG7ofkwXmChrhDk_n8JuCxGw32qWMhd0RwgHa7ANf4awSurTuj5IRq3Or9pW_Y/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-05+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.56.00.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="406" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3OfQOU7MeWhMeojCQALYKN2cfCEBrKoLBZX2e5x0gqrUpC_v5oKJ2W39O1a3zkejKBBivOFnd5INJkEG7ofkwXmChrhDk_n8JuCxGw32qWMhd0RwgHa7ANf4awSurTuj5IRq3Or9pW_Y/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-05+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.56.00.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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我認為長久以來<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
0050</span>一定會突破高點 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(btw,
</span>有人利用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">per.</span></div>
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作為台股的資產配置<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>這一定是錯誤的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>因為當股災的時候<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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台股的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">per
</span>很高<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>你就
錯誤的以為不能買股票<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>
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台股需要利用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">pbr
</span>才是正確的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)</span></div>
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( 台股評估的方法)</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/06/0050tw_15.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/06/0050tw_15.html</a></span></div>
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假設你是<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">buy
an hold 0050, </span>股票下跌的時候<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你什麼都得不到</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
我做的選擇權策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>可以得到一些慰問金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>長期的擁有股票</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
盡量把它降低持股成本<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>讓他現金股息殖利率不斷的升高</div>
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你會發現<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>他的現金股息可以
照顧你一輩子</div>
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我的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">0050</span>成本遠遠小於<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">44.55 </span>因為很多已經都是零成本</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiuZvJpUw6X61I-at279xE4B9C73rZe35NQADjolZSt62L3Nx1pCCLaAzcJhfP3h4_PFoioE2eC1w_MmoRFtkUjnteJrFpyYJsF00nu0hM0TP6vXxRkdL2nhYtPvwExVgImLEluTPfdTgc/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-06+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258812.37.00.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="40" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiuZvJpUw6X61I-at279xE4B9C73rZe35NQADjolZSt62L3Nx1pCCLaAzcJhfP3h4_PFoioE2eC1w_MmoRFtkUjnteJrFpyYJsF00nu0hM0TP6vXxRkdL2nhYtPvwExVgImLEluTPfdTgc/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-06+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258812.37.00.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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如果 你不想擁有股票<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span>只是 想要把 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">option</span>當作一個交易
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">trade , </span>
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非常的簡單</div>
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只要你 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">sell
8800call only ….</span></div>
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如果你害怕風險 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">sell
8800call, buy 8900 call –credit spread</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
事情就變得很單純<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
if </span>方向錯誤他會自動停損</div>
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( 參考選擇權穩定獲利的方法)</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/04/sell-covered-call.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/04/sell-covered-call.html</a></span><br />
<span style="color: #1155cc;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #1155cc;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #1155cc;">我要跟大家推薦<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Money
2016-4 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">月</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">-</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">闕又上
隱藏版的巴菲特秘笈</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, 根據money 雜誌報導,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">闕又上
先生經過金融海嘯的洗禮</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">痛定思痛</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKx-tj_6nSKcP2uuDpuY9wE-D0BXvJxWjFVTC4_nVWvygWi-Cknuttpfnk70KUTL3V762Lxfw892PhRDrkeOZ5wn41bgvMIKniRyoFbPyjXFIodCLJYQz0X8FkFCO9JssBROhI-TnuQno/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-05+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.23.40.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="424" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjKx-tj_6nSKcP2uuDpuY9wE-D0BXvJxWjFVTC4_nVWvygWi-Cknuttpfnk70KUTL3V762Lxfw892PhRDrkeOZ5wn41bgvMIKniRyoFbPyjXFIodCLJYQz0X8FkFCO9JssBROhI-TnuQno/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-05+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.23.40.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">努力的研究巴菲特的策略</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他發現</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">:</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">巴菲特會成功不是在於挑選股票</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而是在於整個資產的配置</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他也鼓勵大家只要買</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">sp500
etf, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不需要浪費時間在挑選股票</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這件事情很重要</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">也和我體會到的一模一樣</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你整個資產配置</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">要打敗大盤很困難</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">各位可以查一查網路</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">有人號稱使用宇宙無底的方法</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">挑選出來的股票</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">整體的報酬率遠遠小於
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">sp500,
</span></span></span></span></span>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">網路上的討論</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">...</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">都是一些不懂的人在詢問不懂的人</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">快樂生活比較重要</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不需要浪費時間在這個地方</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">allan
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">對於
闕又上 先生 的觀念 百分之一百 贊成</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">之前我也強力推薦過</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E9%97%95%E5%8F%88%E4%B8%8A"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E9%97%95%E5%8F%88%E4%B8%8A</span></span></span></span></a></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不過對於他的資產配置觀念</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我的
想法</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已經寫在這篇文章</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/vs_11.html"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2013/03/vs_11.html</span></span></span></span></a></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他
根據過去傳統的資產配置</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">加入了
美國國債作為資產配置</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
but </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">目前美國已經進入升息循環</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">依照
學理</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
bond </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">價格應該要下跌</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而不是像過去的
降息循環</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,bond</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">價格大漲</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
</span></span></span></span></span>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FEDFUNDS">https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FEDFUNDS</a></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_gAxotjonpm_cejfNz4adfI_tHLjs5zrnRuRCFh34fyCsFSHH95DbVY0-YmYVnmMu9Mcl8jv8DDnmLnjkprH1KR-H2e2Mnc_7hv7fQS7dcBpjsSbiNLV4lRTt9aSwYAvx0rbtczuDK4A/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-06+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258812.41.00.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="472" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_gAxotjonpm_cejfNz4adfI_tHLjs5zrnRuRCFh34fyCsFSHH95DbVY0-YmYVnmMu9Mcl8jv8DDnmLnjkprH1KR-H2e2Mnc_7hv7fQS7dcBpjsSbiNLV4lRTt9aSwYAvx0rbtczuDK4A/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-06+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258812.41.00.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">so
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">根據過去的平均值標準差</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你計算出來的
效率前緣 等等的結果 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">恐怕需要修正</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這個就是我懷疑的地方</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我看雜誌上他有寫
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">bnd,
and 5 years </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">美國國債作為資產配置</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div style="orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">五年國債應該受到升息的影響比較小
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為時間短</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">),
bnd </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可能要想一下</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果各位對</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">etf
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">資產配置有興趣</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">建議利用倫敦交易所</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">etf,
dividend tax=0 free, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">免除你退</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">tax</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的麻煩</span></span></span></span></div>
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<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E8%8B%B1%E5%9C%8B%E5%80%AB%E6%95%A6%E8%82%A1%E5%B8%82">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E8%8B%B1%E5%9C%8B%E5%80%AB%E6%95%A6%E8%82%A1%E5%B8%82</a><br />
<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">最後我要引用巴菲特的話</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">跟大家作為分享</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/29/warren-buffett-buying-ibm-a-mistake-dont-think-so-but.html"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/29/warren-buffett-buying-ibm-a-mistake-dont-think-so-but.html</span></span></span></span></a></span></div>
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<div style="orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">cnbc
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">記者問巴菲特有關</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ibm
, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">巴菲特非常的
謙虛</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他說也許
未來證明</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ibm
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">投資是個錯誤</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他也鼓勵大家買</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">sp500
etf</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #424858;"><span style="font-family: "gotham narrow ssm" , "arial";"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;">The
Oracle of Omaha also discouraged the average investor from trying to
emulate his investment strategy regarding IBM, adding that most
investors are likely better off buying into an index fund.</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這就是艾倫
常跟大家說的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我觀察一般人的資產規模</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果沒有做好資產分配</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">沒有辦法承受個別股票的風險</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
so </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大家要聽一聽基金經理人
闕又上 先生,</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;"> <span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">三十年來的寶貴經驗</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">----
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">做好資產分配</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">買</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETF,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">快樂生活就好</span></span></span></span></div>
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<br />
可以同時參考</div>
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放棄<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">buy </span>個別股票<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">--- <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/etf.html" style="color: #7d181e; text-decoration: none;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/etf.html</a></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/buy-etf-luodanny-allanelder-force-index.html" style="color: #7d181e; text-decoration: none;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/buy-etf-luodanny-allanelder-force-index.html</a></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com106tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-34052100073924041652016-04-04T01:09:00.000-07:002016-04-04T02:09:23.750-07:00smart 2016-4 月--「10年線投資法」 vs 五線譜大趨勢<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<h3 class="cjk">
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="color: #454545;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">Smart
2016-4 </span><span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>月</b></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>美女編輯</b></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span><span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>報導花蓮台商的「</b></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>10</b></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>年線投資法」
</b></span></span></span>
</span></h3>
<span style="color: #454545;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://smart.businessweekly.com.tw/Reading/IndepArticle.aspx?ID=28347">http://smart.businessweekly.com.tw/Reading/IndepArticle.aspx?ID=28347</a></span></span><br />
<span style="color: #454545;"> <span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>台商的人生故事</b></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.</span><span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>非常的好看</b></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
--------</span></span><br />
<div style="font-style: normal; font-weight: normal;">
<span style="color: #454545;"><span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><b>謝中林說,創業經營與股票投資的道理都相通,最重要的原則就是「待乏」。</b></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">-----</span><span style="font-family: "lucida grande" , "lucida sans unicode" , "helvetica" , "arial" , "verdana" , sans-serif;"><b>,「夏則資皮,冬則資絺(音同「吃」),旱則資舟,水則資車,以待乏也」。這是說,在夏天的時候儲備皮毛,在冬天的時候囤積薄紗,在大旱的時候買船,在水災的時候買車,只要提前準備,等待貨物缺乏的時候賣出,就可以獲取百倍、千倍的利潤。</b></span></span></div>
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<a name='more'></a><br />
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台商的投資觀念<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>包含他的人生智慧<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>艾倫百分之一百贊成<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">allan</span>部落格
裡面<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">:</span>香港王教授acpe, shiller 教授的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">cape,
</span>五線譜大趨勢艾倫交易系統<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>均值回歸<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">...</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
都圍繞著這個投資的方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---</span>要對市場做評估<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>悲觀的時候買進<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.</span>樂觀的時候
賣出</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
台商提出的 台股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">10
</span>年線-10% 機率分布<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, allan </span>看到這個圖<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>馬上就知道<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, (data from 1996.12.1 to 2016.2.1)</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjox_aWBfuwn2fRPnNff2m595b_hdhqYFIHMizGcME-SPjwCep1vROEajT2BGT369cQe31HP3R2zkyj52Z8aXFuYRlJMKd54USJjI4Hjckudwap6pMInFlCR4yFhwKJCqJN6pjSxaWCV-Y/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25883.09.06.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="342" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjox_aWBfuwn2fRPnNff2m595b_hdhqYFIHMizGcME-SPjwCep1vROEajT2BGT369cQe31HP3R2zkyj52Z8aXFuYRlJMKd54USJjI4Hjckudwap6pMInFlCR4yFhwKJCqJN6pjSxaWCV-Y/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25883.09.06.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
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台股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">10
</span>年線-10% <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">= </span>趨勢線以下
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1 </span>標準差的位置<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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因為他說的 再跌只有<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">17%,
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事實上就是<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>股價 機率分布的概念<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>
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我打開五線譜<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>果然就是這樣<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>台股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">10
</span>年線-10% <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">= </span>趨勢線以下
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1 </span>標準差的位置T-1SD=7054</div>
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現在大概<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">7700
-7800</span>點左右- 10%= around 7000 --7100 (yahoo data only from 1998-1)</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhl2xX1d4VMLLANKeSr1VNAPCVli0yfYq4vjqIlZrQFT1-mH4kgtq12kmUHLNS_Y52-4VxY7_YmMPcCLs0xZ-v9-ek7hIYlLoNuq5QGrxmObcVch6aOs01MFlNppa3vJkmoQhYYY-ZJ4Jw/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25884.51.24.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="388" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhl2xX1d4VMLLANKeSr1VNAPCVli0yfYq4vjqIlZrQFT1-mH4kgtq12kmUHLNS_Y52-4VxY7_YmMPcCLs0xZ-v9-ek7hIYlLoNuq5QGrxmObcVch6aOs01MFlNppa3vJkmoQhYYY-ZJ4Jw/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25884.51.24.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqMlVCJ7qQ9OAM5xrn4CDTIQtIpCCY4Jql7PMOD0RcMimhyphenhyphenLRmheGrG-2wNWqQrrmFPkzGpJevhNFDnn4btlafKh35l6iBUb8yz4kuRioMgm1-glMmXoWCgnJ19TYrOAJZDfldRQn1sPw/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25883.17.51.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="584" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiqMlVCJ7qQ9OAM5xrn4CDTIQtIpCCY4Jql7PMOD0RcMimhyphenhyphenLRmheGrG-2wNWqQrrmFPkzGpJevhNFDnn4btlafKh35l6iBUb8yz4kuRioMgm1-glMmXoWCgnJ19TYrOAJZDfldRQn1sPw/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25883.17.51.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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知道這個有什麼用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">???
</span>因為之後<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>美女的問題<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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就是數學問題<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">-----
</span>香港股市<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>美國股市<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你要用的參數是多少<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">???</span></div>
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你 仍舊要 使用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">10</span>年線 (-10%) 嗎<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">??</span></div>
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最佳的參數<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>是什麼<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">??</span>你要做回推嗎<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">???</span></div>
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各位注意看看<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>香港股市的 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">10
</span>年線<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(21408) (-10%)=19267 <t-1sd(20398) , so </span>他發生的機率分布<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> 不高</span><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxud5dhK8u_6OISvyfgDy5fBjKYsbM1I2BfVfk2zVX7HhnJ1dBANHM5q7Uw9K_i7OrgGM2dHp-yzdC29vHmcjHnV87pssi9iy5HWkxJS_DpExnc79IEHvQjTsZ2MrkT5_KgnjFxVZn0zE/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25883.22.41.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="422" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxud5dhK8u_6OISvyfgDy5fBjKYsbM1I2BfVfk2zVX7HhnJ1dBANHM5q7Uw9K_i7OrgGM2dHp-yzdC29vHmcjHnV87pssi9iy5HWkxJS_DpExnc79IEHvQjTsZ2MrkT5_KgnjFxVZn0zE/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25883.22.41.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiSDJby3N4gHRCl_9JKAdDx7AFISV9gH7wxt2CrtO_9-L8W90FvykPfzjEHXL4v4P7IdPDWQa6cbDQphcaZKnQpGFnljo2e2lsD3ztSGHtnJKNbsbJAMBeT3vqdRx0nj2XNx546H1A2C4I/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25882.34.44.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiSDJby3N4gHRCl_9JKAdDx7AFISV9gH7wxt2CrtO_9-L8W90FvykPfzjEHXL4v4P7IdPDWQa6cbDQphcaZKnQpGFnljo2e2lsD3ztSGHtnJKNbsbJAMBeT3vqdRx0nj2XNx546H1A2C4I/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25882.34.44.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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美國
發生<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><</span>十年線<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(sp500=1464) (-10% )</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">= 1464 (1317.6) </span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"> <</span>於<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">t-2sd=1387.... 出現的機率 更低 </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">so
</span>結論就是<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">==== </span>你可以看五線譜<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, t-1 sd, t-2sd , t+1sd, t+2sd 機率分布</span></div>
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根據自己的風險承受程度<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>自己訂定策略</div>
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過幾天再跟大家分享 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">money
2016 </span>四月份<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">-- </span><span style="color: #505050;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">闕又上
新書</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">...
allan </span></span><span style="color: #505050;"><span style="font-family: "microsoft jhenghei" , "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的一些感想</span></span></span></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com15tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-16436720327797746822016-04-02T08:26:00.000-07:002016-04-02T08:47:10.390-07:00 比較台灣和香港 SELL COVERED CALL 退休策略-- 選擇權如何穩定獲利?<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/03372635747454154137" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Eddie
Tsai</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/10/create-your-own-hedge-fund-increase_25.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Create
Your Own Hedge Fund: Increase Profits and R...</span></span></span></span></a></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">思考了幾天
發現自己的癥結點 在於 資金配置以及能承受多少風險</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">單單論</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SELL
COVERED CALL</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">策略是沒有問題的
但是在操作上會遇到些情況</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1:1</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SELL
CALL</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的風險在於
保證金戶頭 如</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">您說的放</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">萬</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">當行情發生
賣方戶頭隨時在結算的情況下 現貨和</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">OP</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的市場不同
關盤時間不同</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">所以要</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SELL
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">現貨來補</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">OP</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的策略
用機械式操作是有難度的</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這樣以現金流的觀點來說
賣方贏的機率高 會有種每月都有穩定獲利的想法產生</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但是只要遇到大行情
也會大賠到來不及補錢</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">所以在做此策略
應該還是要配合主動式操作加上技術分析</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">您的</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">AE</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">等</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">配合</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">才能夠趨吉避凶 </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">與其這樣不如低點買高收債
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">高點慢慢賣
還來的輕鬆</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">心情穩定比較能樂活</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">思考過程中
還發現 交易重要的還是人 系統 策略只是其次</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">判斷能承受多少風險才更為重要</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">另外
做此策略在大行情時 似乎還要流動性問題
不知道</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">有什麼想法呢</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">??</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">還有我猜測長期績效
可能是</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BUY</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">方
以同樣金額操作的情形下 不知道有沒有猜對</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">以上觀念有謬誤請各位指教
也謝謝</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">激發我的想法 </span></span></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<a name='more'></a><br />
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">hi
eddie:</span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">完全同意你的看法</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">理財成功與否</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">...</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">重點不是在
挑股票</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而是你所說的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">....</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">都在於資產配置</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">和風險控管</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">eddie
,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">依照你的
努力認真 思考態度</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我覺得你一定會成功, </span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我要
先預祝你成功</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我最近在思考一個問題</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果一個退休人士</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">想要
假設利用傻瓜投資法</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">每個月賣出
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">SELL
COVERED CALL</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">先拿到權利金</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">作為退休的消費</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他要準備的資產有多少</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">??</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為香港
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">HSI
INDEX </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">波動率大</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">權利金每個月大概可以平均收到</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2.5%,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">台灣大盤波動率小</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">權利金大概只有一半</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1.25%</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果以現在的恆生指數</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">一個退休人士擁有
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">口選擇權的資產</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">--
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大約需要四百萬台幣</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">香港選擇權每個月可領到十萬元退休金</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">同樣的資產在台灣只能領到五萬元</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">......
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我們要計算退休人士需要多少資產
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVERED
CALL....</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">比較直接提領
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">HSI
2.5% /MONTH. ( </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">台灣</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1.25%/MONTH)..
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">需要擁有的資產, 哪一個比較有利</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">SELL
COVERED ATM CALL </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果股票漲</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">>
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">權利金</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2.5%
( </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">台灣</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">>1.25%)
… </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你就要從
儲備股票當中賣股來</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVERED
OPTION</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">結算</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">...</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhEFUdKd3PU7fSgqwjugPVnTu4VfqGuNCGNfLoU46KcwzKhOukSrvu1_iSvRuR40sErBbObpkErJxgNBhK7poNUlnj4QxXSASTS8Ul65WdtMUjJ1wZpJJ1el7mmm5KOFwv_6JBkOv-eTUw/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-02+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.03.12.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="70" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhEFUdKd3PU7fSgqwjugPVnTu4VfqGuNCGNfLoU46KcwzKhOukSrvu1_iSvRuR40sErBbObpkErJxgNBhK7poNUlnj4QxXSASTS8Ul65WdtMUjJ1wZpJJ1el7mmm5KOFwv_6JBkOv-eTUw/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-04-02+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.03.12.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">利用</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">YAHOO
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">資料庫比較同一個時間
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">FROM
1997-7 TO 2016-2=18.5 YEARS, </span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">香港比較划算
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
COVERED CALL VS</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">直接提領
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">HSI
2.5% /MONTH= 3.86 X400W VS 5.57X400W... 可以節省684萬) , </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">台灣因為所收到的權利金太少 ===</span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVERED CALL VS</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">直接提領 1.25</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">% /MONTH= 4.72 X400W VS 2.78X400W...</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"> </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, TWSE </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不需要做
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVERED
CALL , </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這樣反而會賠錢 會賠掉776萬</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">現在
拜網路科技的之賜</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
ALLAN </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可以從網路參加很多</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">OPTION</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">課程</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">讓我們可以窺探</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">真正有經驗的選擇權老師</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">到底如何穩定獲利</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">OPTION SELL SIDE </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">風險無限</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這些老師一定是使用
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">CREDIT
SPREAD, </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">控制風險</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果你要作
有方向的 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY
SIDE, </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">一定是使用</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">DEBIT
SPREAD, </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">提高獲勝率</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而且 就像</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">EDDIE</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">所說</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他們都有一個交易系統
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">就像艾倫交易系統</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我跟大家分享
大趨勢的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">PRICE
HEADLEY, DEBIT SPREAD , 5</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">個原則</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大家可以
記下來 應用</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">Rule
#1. Buy In-The-Money and Sell At or Out-Of-The-Money --- ROI </span></span>最保守
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">,BUT</span></span>獲勝率最高</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">Rule
#2. Sell More Time Premium Than You Buy --- </span></span>有人利用
最後結算前 開始做<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">DEBIT
SPREAD, BUT PRICE </span></span>希望利用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">DELTA</span></span>不大的時候,可以停損停利</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">Rule
#3. Profit Taking in Pieces Increases Win Percentage </span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">---
</span></span>提早實現獲利成為零成本</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">Rule
#4. Don’t Be Greedy – Favor Early Profit Taking </span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">Rule
#5. Trade in Pairs </span></span>
</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">ALLAN BUY 8900 ITM PUT +SELL 8800 PUT= DEBIT SPREAD </span></span>很短的時間 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";">ROI= 17/59=28.8%</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";"><br /></span></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/03/debit-spread.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/03/debit-spread.html</a></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";"><br /></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "calibri" , "bold";"><br /></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><br /></span></span></span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-26582757062864707542016-03-25T07:48:00.000-07:002016-03-29T17:01:07.476-07:00 艾倫交易系統五個指標--- ae2 , br spread, ker, macd, ema<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/17217033293283558614" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Convax</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/03/blog-post_22.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾倫交易系統關鍵價位</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">請教</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">兄,先前文章有提到,</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">AE2</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">與</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">MACD</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的相似度</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">95</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">%,若是如此,是不是同質性有些高呢,甚至用</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">MACD</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的效果也相差不大呢,謝謝 </span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"></span></div>
<a name='more'></a><span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span><br />
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222; font-size: large;">hi
convax:</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">正確的說法是
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">和
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">macd
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">柱狀體
的斜率 相似度</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">95</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">%
…</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">..</span></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span></span>
<br />
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: times new roman, serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: times new roman, serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">各位注意觀察
很多的技術指標</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">都不是領先指標</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">就是說</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">:</span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">股價跌</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
kd , macd. Rsi.... </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">開始
跟著 向下</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.............</span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">股價
上漲</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
kd , macd. Rsi.... </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">開始
跟著 向上</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">......</span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你如果根據這些
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">kd ,
macd ...</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">指標</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">買賣股票</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">就知道我的意思</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222; font-size: large;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">都會有時間差
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">time
lag</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222; font-size: large;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如何改善這個困境</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">?</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為這些指標</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">都是根據股價做分析
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span></span>
</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">所以有聰明的人</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">就根據成交量做分析</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">企圖找到籌碼的變化</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">ae2
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">是根據
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">dr
elder--- force index </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">指標</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">加工處理而來</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">另外艾倫也研究了
林則行先生 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">buy
sell ratio... </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他
同樣也是根據成交量做 分析</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾倫也把它加工處理---br spread</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾倫也研究了考夫曼
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">efficiency
ratio--- </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">判斷強弱
趨勢---ker</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222; font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">並且研究了</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">macd
, </span></span><span style="color: #222222; font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">均線理論
</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ema....</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這些都是落後指標</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">macd,
ema </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">要領先股價</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">allan </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">發現
可以根據他的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">slope
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">斜率
…</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.</span></span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEim4KT7Nz-EukM97hg-JeNy6F5G5cktqtXPhg_03tVK2k54yKmX1FEtcaxTfNnh8eruAIXBNB_y44STIpoxk-7I2C-l0ADOZ3Ey-DIQ8UmwfoxYUXLTbJMU9cublp_rzMQyhyphenhyphenMvxGZl9zE/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-03-25+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258810.36.29.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="248" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEim4KT7Nz-EukM97hg-JeNy6F5G5cktqtXPhg_03tVK2k54yKmX1FEtcaxTfNnh8eruAIXBNB_y44STIpoxk-7I2C-l0ADOZ3Ey-DIQ8UmwfoxYUXLTbJMU9cublp_rzMQyhyphenhyphenMvxGZl9zE/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-03-25+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258810.36.29.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我將這些東西成為</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">allan</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">交易系統</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">勝率很高</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">很多網友一直問
艾倫交易系統 未來會不會分享</span><span style="color: #222222; font-family: "times new roman" , serif; font-size: large;">??</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這個</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2
, </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">未來可能會分享</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">也可能不會分享</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.....</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我認為</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">...allan
impulse system </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">後面有很大的利益
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(sorry,</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不要介意我的瘋言瘋語</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這是我的偏見和無知</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">一廂情願</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">敝帚自珍的想法</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)....</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果要分享</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">要有很大的智慧</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為我不知道如何可以分辨</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">網友真正目的是什麼</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">?</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><br />
</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">各位看看網路上</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">百分之九十九的人都是在為名為利</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span></span>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">很多
教投資的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">都是在上課賺錢</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果教投資的老師</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">投資就能賺錢</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">又何必上課</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">幾千塊幾萬塊的
向學生收錢</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">??</span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"> </span>
</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我一直認為</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">----</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">做投資教學老師</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">應該要教學生好好的專注本業</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這樣世界才有辦法發展</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></span></span><span style="color: #222222; font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">不要一天到晚洗腦</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222; font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">以為學了什麼公式</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">就可以成為億萬富翁</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這是不可能的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果這件事可能</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這個老師要先成為百億富翁再說</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">allan
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">交易系統</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">絕對不會走商業路線</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">也不願意讓別人</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">利用它成為商業用途</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">...</span></span></span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"> 如果以期貨選擇權來說, 這個交易. 很短的時間就可以 獲利</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/03/debit-spread.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/03/debit-spread.html</a></span><br />
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"> 當時 台股 大盤股價繼續上漲,but 艾倫交易系統, 所有的指標都已經 向下</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com30tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-4938963684533922792016-03-22T19:04:00.000-07:002016-03-22T19:04:31.145-07:00艾倫交易系統關鍵價位<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">from
OOO</span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">老師你好,今年有幸開始接觸你的部落格及書籍,近期想投資新加坡的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REITS</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,於是</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">現在先練習如何掌握進出場時機。我先利用五線譜跑</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">STI</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,發現價位雖然上升至</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">75%</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">悲觀區,</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
<div align="LEFT" style="line-height: 0.37cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但整體斜率呈負;另由大趨勢觀察日線已突破上通道、週線也為中、上通道間,綜合以上我</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238; font-family: arial, sans-serif; line-height: 0.37cm;">判斷目前不是好的買點。也想請</span><span style="color: #263238; font-family: Times New Roman, serif; line-height: 0.37cm;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">ALLAN</span></span><span style="color: #263238; font-family: arial, sans-serif; line-height: 0.37cm;">不吝指教,謝謝。</span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">網友非常客氣</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">叫我老師</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但是我絕對不是老師</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我只有單純在分享</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">各位要注意風險</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">注意資產</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">配置</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">之前五線譜大趨勢有一些
買賣點 關鍵價位</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">參考這篇文章
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/06/blog-post_8.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/06/blog-post_8.html</a></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">加上</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ae2
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">之後</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可以預先知道轉折</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">讓我們參考
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">(^sti
yahoo </span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">交易量</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">數據有問題</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">利用</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ews
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">代替</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">)</span></span></div>
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<br />
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<span style="color: #263238;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">負斜率的國家可能需要注意</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你可以等到轉正</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">在買</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">...
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但是等他轉正</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已經遠離最低點很
遠</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
<div align="LEFT" style="line-height: 0.37cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">是也可以避免
向下一直探底</span></span></span></span></div>
<div align="LEFT" style="line-height: 0.37cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
<div align="LEFT" style="line-height: 0.37cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #263238;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">資產比較大的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可以
向下 摸底</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">...
reits </span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">有配息</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">正報酬
機率很大</span></span></span></span></div>
<div align="LEFT" style="line-height: 0.37cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
<div align="LEFT" style="line-height: 0.37cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"> 目前 看起來, sti 股價的 接近大趨勢 upper band , ae2 向下.....短線回檔的機率大</span></span></span></span></div>
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<div align="LEFT" style="line-height: 0.37cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #263238;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">有了</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ae2
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">可以讓我們模擬未來的發展</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">...
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">自己做好計劃</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">配合五線譜
大趨勢關鍵價位 </span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">...</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">我覺得還</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><br /></span></span></div>
<div align="LEFT" style="line-height: 0.37cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #263238;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">不錯 ( 最強的買賣點, 在指標背離. 根據 elder 醫生的看法, 三次 指標背離. 大多數會反轉....)</span></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com10tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-33995049440678845822016-03-18T07:41:00.001-07:002016-03-18T23:06:54.563-07:00艾倫交易系統觀察-- DEBIT SPREAD<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/06886592732873055978" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">潘小凡</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #500050;"> </span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2014/03/indy.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我讀基金教母蕭老師
書的感想</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">----
indy ,</span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2014/03/indy.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">債卷基金
非常超級適合曾氏通道</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大師</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">最近發現印度
在五線譜算是低點了耶</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">....</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而且趨勢向上
看來兩三年一次的買點似乎又到了。</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不知道</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如何看呢 </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
凡哥<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">:</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
不要叫我大師<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>我把你的文字<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span>看成<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ALLAN </span>印度大師<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>真的好好笑</div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
印度長線應該還好<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>短線根據<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">AE2
</span>好像 方向向下<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, SO
</span>隨便 參考參考</div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif; orphans: 1;">AE2
</span><span style="orphans: 1;">可以提前看到轉折</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif; orphans: 1;">,
SO </span><span style="orphans: 1;">關鍵價位</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif; orphans: 1;">,</span><span style="orphans: 1;">想要買賣股票</span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif; orphans: 1;">,</span><span style="orphans: 1;">可以參考看看</span><br />
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ALLAN
</span>去年年底<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>開始利用
現貨<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVER </span>期貨<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>在台灣的經驗不錯<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
幾乎得到所有的權利金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>而且多了很多<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">0050.TW</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">OPTION</span>的策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>讓你買股票很有動機<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>不必寄望遙遠的未來<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>現在就可以得到現金流</div>
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<br />
選擇權<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>也可以做投機的做法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>一般是 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY CALL OR BUY
PUT, </span>但是因為<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">CALL OR
PUT</span>包含時間價值<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, BUY
OPTION </span>成功 獲利的機會比較小<br />
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<br /></div>
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我們可以利用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">DEBIT
SPREAD... </span>看空 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY PUT
+ SELL PUT.... </span>看多<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY
CALL +SELL CALL</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
這樣可以收到一些時間價值<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>計算 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ROI... </span>報酬率也相當驚人</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
最多就是賠掉 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">DEBIT
SPREAD </span>權利金</div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
它有分三個方法</div>
<ol>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY
ITM PUT OR CALL , SELL ATM (OTM)OPITON--- </span>保守</div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY
ATM PUT OR CALL, SELL OTM OPTION--- </span>中保守</div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY
OTM PUT OR CALL, SELL OTM OPTION--- </span>最積極</div>
</li>
</ol>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
因為台灣股市 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">TWSE
, AE2 </span>開始向下<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>並且接近<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">UPPER BAND
8848....</span>我使用</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVER
CALL + ITM PUT DEBIT SPREAD ( </span>每口付出<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">59. <span style="background-color: #fefdfa; color: #333333; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18.2px; text-align: justify;">最後結算最高得到100</span> </span>最高獲利 41<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">. ROI=41/59= 69%)</span></div>
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香港股市 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">AE2
</span>繼續向上<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>我把我的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVER
CALL </span>平倉<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, SELL STOCK</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
每一口<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">400W,
</span>少賺了1036( <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1098)- </span>收到的權利金 716(<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">602), </span>每一口<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">SELL
2.5 </span>手<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2800.HK COVER
OPTION …. BUT </span>目前 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2800.HK
TOTAL </span>資產繼續向上</div>
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股價和<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">AE2
</span>指標的情況有下列幾種<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>最強烈做多<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">( OR
</span>做空<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)</span>的地方在指標背離<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
根據<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ELDER
</span>醫師的經驗<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>三次指標背離<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>幾乎都會反轉</div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com17tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-34986149440911006822016-03-12T08:05:00.000-08:002016-03-12T08:30:38.883-08:00 艾倫交易系統 的觀察<div class="p1">
<span class="s1"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/17142245205818741063">刘庆伟</a></span><span class="s2"> 已針對您的文章「<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/08/allan-elder-force-index_11.html"><span class="s3">艾倫艾爾德力度指標--- allan elder force index</span></a>」留下新意見: </span></div>
<div class="p2">
<span class="s4"></span><br /></div>
<div class="p3">
<span class="s4">Allan,現在AE2對於盤整和壹路多頭有什麽好的解決方法嗎?謝謝! </span></div>
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<span class="s4"></span></div>
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偉哥 的問題是個好問題<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
另外<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">KK
</span>的問題也不錯<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>我的回答如下<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/03/buy-etf.html?showComment=1457795905703#c3489865629954153235">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/03/buy-etf.html?showComment=1457795905703#c3489865629954153235</a></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">AE2</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">對於盤整和壹路多頭有什麽好的解決方法嗎?</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">---->
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我的想法是沒有</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">所有技術指標都沒辦法解決盤整的問題</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">長線多頭</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">只能使用較長的時間技術指標</span></span></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">ae2
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">目前的想法</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">只需要使用在關鍵的地方</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">配合五線譜大趨勢</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">想要買賣股票的時候需要看一下</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這一次</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">hsi
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">指數跌破大趨勢
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">關鍵的區域
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">allan
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">有買到
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, hsi future 18099, </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但是因為期貨的波動性太大</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">很短的時間就有數
萬元 到數十萬的金錢在波動</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">沒有辦法抱住</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">只能分段分段
操作</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這也是我改成買</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2800.hk
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">原因</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可以
長線操作 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
hsi=19200, ae2 </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">突破</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">0
axis, allan </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大量買</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2800.hk</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">之前美女編輯問我</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">美國股票的事情</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我跟他說根據</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">會反轉</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/2800hk-ii.html"><span style="color: #222222;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/2800hk-ii.html</span></a></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">目前看來果然如此</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但是
現在反而要觀察 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">是否
向下修正</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">ae2
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這個東西很有趣</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我也在觀察當中</span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大家參考參考</span></span></span></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-49449839991185962932016-03-12T03:03:00.001-08:002016-03-12T03:04:16.230-08:00謝謝網友 米瑞德, 熱情分享新加坡reits 訊息--- sabana, saizen, 感恩感恩<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;">謝謝網友 </span></span></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;">米瑞德</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;">熱情分享新加坡</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">reits </span></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;">訊息</span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">--- sabana, saizen, </span></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;">感恩感恩</span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br /></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"> 再次感謝您的熱情</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br /></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 9pt;"><br /></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">米瑞德
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(</span></span></span></span></span><a href="http://rueidemi.openid.org.cn/" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://rueidemi.openid.org.cn/</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/09/reits_17.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REITS
</span></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/09/reits_17.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的觀察</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BTW:</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我是曾提供</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">有關於新加坡新的</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">S-REIT
ETF</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的「匿名」,當時由於</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">OPENID</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的設定問題無法正確顯示身分。故從今以後,本人將以米瑞德的原始身分發文</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">~</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">請多指教</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">~ </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /></span></span></div>
<a name='more'></a><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">米瑞德
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(</span></span></span></span></span><a href="http://rueidemi.openid.org.cn/" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://rueidemi.openid.org.cn/</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/09/reits_17.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REITS
</span></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/09/reits_17.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的觀察</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Hello
Allan and George ,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Sabana
REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的股價會不太好看是因為這檔</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">最近必須面對一系列的轉型</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">租約置換與資產轉型</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,且該</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">DPU(</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">每單位派發股息</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">下滑了</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">15.2%</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">。</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Sabana
Shari’ah-compliant REIT (SGX:M1GU) announced on 25 January that it
has achieved a distribution per unit (DPU) of 5.95 Singapore cents
for its 4Q 2015, a decrease of 15.2% as compared to the 7.02 cents
paid in the same period last year.</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">This
brings the Singapore-listed industrial REIT’s full-year annualised
DPU to 6.85 cents, a fall of 6.5% as compared to the 7.33 cents paid
in FY 2014.</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /><br />“</span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Net
property income (NPI) for FY 2015 and 4Q 2015 decreased by 1.8% and
11.0% respectively, mainly due to the lower gross revenue arising
from negative rental revisions for certain master leases renewals and
increase in vacancies in 4Q 2015, coupled with an increase in
property expenses due to conversion of three more master leases into
multi-tenanted leases”, said the REIT in a
statement.</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /><br />“</span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Furthermore,
there were also higher property tax and land rent expenses from the
conversion of certain master leases from triple-net into
non-triple-net tenancies”, it added. The REIT’s portfolio
occupancy eased from 91.7% as at 30 September 2015 to 87.7% as at 31
December 2015 while weighted average lease expiry (WALE) stood at
approximately 3.2 years.</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REITsWeek
BY RIDZWAN RAHMAT ON JANUARY 25,
2016</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">勝寶工業信託</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(SGX:M1GU)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">在今年</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">月</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">25</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">日宣布該公司將配發</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">5.95</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡分每單位的股息,比起去年同期派發的</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">7.02</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡分下滑了</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">15.2%</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">。</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而這也導致了這支新加坡掛牌的</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">全年預估</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">DPU(</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">每單位派發股息</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">下降至</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">6.85</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡分,比起</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2014</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">財務年度的</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">7.33</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡分的派息少了</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">6.5%</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">左右。</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">該</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的說明提到:</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2015</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">財務年度與</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2015</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">第四季的資產淨收入</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(NPI)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">各下滑了</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1.8%</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">與</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">11.0%</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,主要受制於毛利增加幅度較低的、起源於較為負向的為將主租賃契約</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(master
lease)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">置換而產生的租約置換</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(negative
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revisions)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">與</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2015</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">年第四季出現的增加不少的的未租出空間所致。而除了這項現象之外,源自於與此</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">有關的三項主租賃契約將被轉換至多租戶租賃</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(multi-tenanted
leases)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而衍生的財產相關開支增加也是導致獲利下滑的原因之一。</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">除此之外,本</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">也必須承擔較高的地產稅與將部份的主租賃契約的架構從三重淨利租賃</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(triple-net)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">轉換成非三重淨利租賃</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(non-triple-net)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而產生的額外土地出租開支。這支</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的投資組合空置率已經從</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2015/9/30</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">91.7%</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">下降到</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2015/12/31</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">87.7%</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而加權租約有效期間</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(weighted
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(WALE))</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">還是維持在</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">3.2</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">年。</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">譯者按:本文因涉及許多房地產與財經專有名詞而較難翻譯,本人已經盡可能的將其翻譯成一般人可閱讀與理解的名詞。部分內容再不影響文意下經過潤飾與修改以符合一般閱讀需求。</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">以上資訊提供參考</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">~ </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><br /></span></span><br />
<br />
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<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">米瑞德
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(</span></span></span></span></span><a href="http://rueidemi.openid.org.cn/" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://rueidemi.openid.org.cn/</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/03/reits-etf-allan.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡
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ALLAN </span></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/03/reits-etf-allan.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">樂觀其成</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Hello
Allan and </span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">狗狗
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">有買</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Saizen
REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的投資人,恭喜你們</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">!</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">今年</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Saizen
REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">派發</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1.056</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的特別股息,因為他最近有些資產調整:</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Singapore-listed
residential REIT, Saizen REIT (SGX:T8JU), has obtained majority
approval from its unitholders to dispose the REIT’s entire
portfolio of real estate assets in Japan to Triangle TMK.</span></span></span></span></span><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">The
approval was obtained in an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) held
on 1 March. Triangle TMK is a Japanese affiliate of Lone Star Funds.
Also obtained at the EGM was the approval to issue a special
distribution of SGD1.056 per unit once the disposal is
complete.</span></span></span></span></span><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Saizen
REIT first received an offer from Triangle TMK to acquire Saizen
REIT’s entire portfolio of real estate assets in Japan for JPY44.66
billion (SGD514.1 million) in October 2015.</span></span></span></span></span><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REITsWeek
BY RIDZWAN RAHMAT ON MARCH 1, 2016</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡掛牌的住宅</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT--</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">最善投資信託</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(Saizen
REIT)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已經獲得絕大多數單位信託持有人</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(unitholders)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的批准並將整個</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的全數位於日本的不動產資產轉賣給</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Triangle
TMK</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">。</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這項資產處分已經在</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">3</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">月</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">日召開的特別股東大會</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(EGM)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">中獲得批准,而將接手這些資產的</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Triangle
TMK</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">是日本孤星基金</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(Lone
Star Funds)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的子公司。而在股東特別大會召開的同時,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Saizen
REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">也得到了批准在處分完畢後派發</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1.056</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">新加坡幣的特別股息的權利。</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Saizen
REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">曾在</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2015</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">年</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">10</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">月初次收到</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Triangle
TMK</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">想要以</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">446.6</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">億日圓的代價</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(5.1410</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">億新加坡幣</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">收購</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Saizen
REIT</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的全數位於日本的不動產資產的請求。 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com13tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-25482157271883255642016-03-08T01:39:00.000-08:002016-03-08T01:39:42.005-08:00 新加坡 REITS ETF 即將發行--- ALLAN 樂觀其成<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">匿名 (</span><a href="http://rueidemi.openid.org.cn/" style="background-color: white; color: #1155cc; font-family: arial, sans-serif;" target="_blank">http://rueidemi.openid.org.<wbr></wbr>cn/</a><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">) 已針對您的文章「</span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/09/reits_17.html" style="background-color: white; color: #1155cc; font-family: arial, sans-serif;" target="_blank">新加坡 REITS 的觀察</a><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">」留下新意見: </span><br />
<br style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;" />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">想投資新加坡REITs的投資者有更好的工具可用了:</span><br />
<br style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;" />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">The Singapore Exchange (SGX) released its first batch of in-house stock indexes yesterday as part of a strategy to enable more exchange- traded fund (ETF) products to be issued here.</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">The SGX S-Reit (real estate investment trust) 20 Index, for example, measures the performance of the 20 largest and most tradable S-Reits while the SGX All Healthcare Index tracks 29 shares, including healthcare providers, medical manufacturers and biotech firms.</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">The new push is already showing results, with SGX in talks with potential issuers over an S-Reit ETF, which is expected to enter the market in six months' time.</span><br />
<br style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;" />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">The Straits Times,Dec 2, 2015, 5:00 am SGT</span><br />
<br style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;" />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">新加坡交易所(SGX)</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">昨日公佈了第一批由新交所自製的自製性指數,</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">以作為一項刺激ETF在此掛牌的新戰略。</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">例如S-Reit(新加坡不動產投資信託) 20指數,</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">追蹤的是在新交所上市的前20大藍籌REITs的表現,</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">而新交所全市場生技醫療產業指數(SGX All Healthcare Index)追踪的是由29股組成,包括醫療服務提供者、</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">醫療設備製造商和生物科技公司等有關生技醫療的優質公司。</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">值得注意的是,有些新推的指數已初具成效,</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">例如近期已有潛在ETF發行者與新交所談判,有望在半年內(按:</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">2016年6月左右)推出一隻追蹤S-Reit的新ETF。</span><br />
<br style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;" />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">這則新聞也代表了:SGX已經在跟ETF發行者洽商,</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">將推出新加坡REITs的ETF,這真是一件令人振奮的事!</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">而依據Phillip Singapore Real Estate Income Fund的殖利率5.13%來看,這檔ETF將會有5%</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">以上的報酬,真是值得期待!</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">至於複委託是否可以買入招募中ETF(ETF under IPO)則需要再問券商。但有件事是確定的:</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">以後可以用一隻ETF投資一籃子的REIT,</span><wbr style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: arial, sans-serif;"></wbr><span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">而無須選股或逐一買入,It's great,isn't it? </span><br />
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<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"> 謝謝 匿名的訊息</span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">新加坡 REITS ETF 即將發行--- ALLAN 樂觀其成</span><br />
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"> 如果匿名是相關的業者</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"> ALLAN 希望能夠降低ETF , 總支出比例 TER</span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">嘉惠散戶大眾</span><br />
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;">ALLAN 當時下單,十分麻煩, 新加坡交易所, 當時最小單位1000 ( NOW已經改成100)</span></span><br />
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"> 資產規模不夠大 的人 , 我覺得應該沒辦法做 S REITS資產配置</span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">現在有S-REITS ETF可以完成大家的夢想, 我們可以拭目以待</span><br />
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;"><br /></span></span>
<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white;">ALLAN 也要感謝 新加坡,下列公司, 這些年來的現金股息, 照顧ALLAN </span></span><br />
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<span style="color: #222222; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: white; font-size: 14px;"><br /></span></span>Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com19tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-6275273483947851652016-03-04T03:53:00.001-08:002016-04-06T07:06:02.629-07:00選擇個股很困難, 再推薦一次, buy etf 就好<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/10910563765821106045" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">鄒雅琪</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/03/4-0005hk-2828hk-2800hk-ptus.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">股票魔法師</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/03/4-0005hk-2828hk-2800hk-ptus.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">公司成長的</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">4</span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/03/4-0005hk-2828hk-2800hk-ptus.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">時期</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">---.
0005.HK, 2828.HK, 2800.HK,
pt....</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾大您好</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">:</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我是一位對股巿投資完全沒有概念的醫療背景的新手</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">一直在找一種被動式收入</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">能讓我不用為五斗米折腰</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">能發揮我所長去做更有意義助人的事</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">努力研究了很多巿面上有名的投資者文章和書</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(ex</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">老農夫</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">溫國信</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">巴大</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾蜜莉</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">薛教授</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">星大</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">股魚</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">...)</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他們說的都很棒</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但是我天生對數字有障礙</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我想我累世都與商無緣</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">....),</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">怎麼研究都無法搞懂他們的選股方式</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">結果只能收集他們的存股口袋名單</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">>
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">用大趨式</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">要等到跌破下通線回到通道時再買進</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">....</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">那不就是要時時盯著線譜看股價回到通道了嗎</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因工作繁忙無法如此且心不就一直被它影响那如何樂活</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">請問是要如何不用一直盯著線譜看而能買賣到相對高低點</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">? </span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Hi
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">雅琪<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">:</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
大趨勢只要用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">weekly
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">就好了<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">大概看一下<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">不必要隨時看</span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
記得悲觀的時候買<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">樂觀的時候<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">sell
</span></span></span></span></span>
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根據我的經驗<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">個別股票有風險<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">要小心風險</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
別人認為好的標的物<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">跟你都沒有關係<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">只要一下跌<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">你根本也
抱不住</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> 更何況要
繼續掏錢出來存股</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">allan
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">之前去上過很多課<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">現在回頭一看<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">大部分都沒有用.....</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
不需要浪費時間在這些地方<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">----
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">更可笑的是<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">每個上課的學員<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">眼神裡面都
散發出成為億萬富翁的貪婪<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">....</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
不要開玩笑<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">這是不可能的事情<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.....
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">如果這件事是可能<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">在講台上的老師就不用上課了<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">早就是百億大富翁了<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">....</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> </span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
台灣的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">0050.tw,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">你可以使用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">pbr</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
香港可以使用 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">acpe ( 參考部落格地圖)</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> </span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
看到你的行業<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">我一定要再一次的強調<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">專心工作比較重要<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
否則對不起你的病人 ( 專注本業 </span><span style="color: #222222;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E5%B0%88%E6%B3%A8%E6%9C%AC%E6%A5%AD">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=+%E5%B0%88%E6%B3%A8%E6%9C%AC%E6%A5%AD</a> )</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
我部落格很多策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
buy etf </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">就可以
樂活 一生</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
你如果有興趣 研究<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
and </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">資產規模大一點<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
buy etf, sell call , </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">每個月收到權利金</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
被動收入現金流<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">可以讓你的心情很穩定</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">hsi </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">指數一口單<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">三月份
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">sell
19200 call </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">可以得到 716x50x4.3=153940 twd</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> </span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">sell
19400 call </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">可以得到 602x50x4.3=129430 twd</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFXefckHWWqDD584fJDkd2mCMiyh_Dsi2Hk1fpF1fR3BYGF_xQOMEooJQ-O4aBgMnCn1dB6FR94x0wdZE6Z5c1Aw1-iPMx85EcliLWAsd9_PKb_MwY3iCWkV0NXHmK6_vg41vb8ldezQU/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-03-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25887.03.16.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFXefckHWWqDD584fJDkd2mCMiyh_Dsi2Hk1fpF1fR3BYGF_xQOMEooJQ-O4aBgMnCn1dB6FR94x0wdZE6Z5c1Aw1-iPMx85EcliLWAsd9_PKb_MwY3iCWkV0NXHmK6_vg41vb8ldezQU/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-03-04+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25887.03.16.png" width="492" /></a></div>
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwO4-HT8CXKyUG3EKg1KnCqRRztgOtA-2if6IhVzZPFQWsEg_v3iHOIFolmxYfVkbDQ3ed77VAPcEEv6Q5SbjwombusLk7SJJ6hyq4bpQQlWsbRnM4OcA-FTKx9emYmWEfOSQjPZeshg4/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.46.29.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwO4-HT8CXKyUG3EKg1KnCqRRztgOtA-2if6IhVzZPFQWsEg_v3iHOIFolmxYfVkbDQ3ed77VAPcEEv6Q5SbjwombusLk7SJJ6hyq4bpQQlWsbRnM4OcA-FTKx9emYmWEfOSQjPZeshg4/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.46.29.png" width="576" /></a></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
利用股票來 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">covered
call. </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">買方賺錢<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">賣方也賺錢<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
So </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">沒有風險
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">投資<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">賠錢才是風險<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
你可以參考<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Blog
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">地圖</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">----
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">現金流的資產配置</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #d52a33;"><span style="font-family: "georgia" , "utopia" , "palatino linotype" , "palatino" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾倫的理財奇妙旅程</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/blog.html"><span style="color: #d52a33;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/10/blog.html</span></a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">放棄</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">buy </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">個別股票</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">--- </span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/etf.html"><span style="color: #7d181e;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/etf.html</span></span></span></span></span></a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="line-height: 0.32cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/buy-etf-luodanny-allanelder-force-index.html"><span style="color: #7d181e;"><span style="text-decoration: none;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/08/buy-etf-luodanny-allanelder-force-index.html</span></span></span></span></span></a></span></div>
<div style="line-height: 0.32cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span></div>
<div dir="LTR" id="post-body-8529759147700533735">
<div style="line-height: 0.32cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "tahoma" , "helvetica" , "freesans" , sans-serif;"><br /></span></span>
</div>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=etf">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/search?q=etf</a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<br />
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com22tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-1200154640105026642016-02-26T03:44:00.000-08:002016-03-05T03:20:15.237-08:00 香港 期貨 選擇權的經驗----確定以避險HEDGE 為策略<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/07014711855950113724" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">jerry</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/02/put-index-short-straddle-index.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">香港選擇權策略
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">PUT
INDEX , SHORT STRADDLE INDEX</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Allan</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">再請教一下,這邊提到的</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">"</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果同時</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SELL
CALL AND SELL PUT ( SHORT STRADDLE), </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">得到兩倍的權利金</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">"</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">指得是有配合現貨
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">covered
call/put</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">嗎</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">還是怎麼做</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">萬一發生大趨勢,得賣出現貨補</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">covered
call</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,或平倉</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">put</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">買進新現貨持股</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">謝謝 </span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">HI
JERRY;</span></span></div>
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你說的問題<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>我計算一次給你看<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
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用今天的香港選擇權價格為例</div>
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我同時賣出 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ATM=19400
CALL AND PUT , </span>權利金 可以得到 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">553+604
POINTS=1157 POINTS</span></div>
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為了 萬一發生大趨勢<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>比如上漲或下跌一千點 以上<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你可以 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY 18400 PUT AND BUY 20400 CALL, </span>付出權利金 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">280+161=441</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijLJsOTRJkFpuN4DNuy58jApGdAWTzvrDfzV70xeIORdCTJlT9oYnDBwvlNEP1-QebH3hsqi-Xd8cdipX6x9boTuWs26NjgO3Iq4w0g3iuLOCQqXsQ5FXGfitRmWRzzIHQP0MnZrEp2yI/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-26+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25886.47.09.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="252" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEijLJsOTRJkFpuN4DNuy58jApGdAWTzvrDfzV70xeIORdCTJlT9oYnDBwvlNEP1-QebH3hsqi-Xd8cdipX6x9boTuWs26NjgO3Iq4w0g3iuLOCQqXsQ5FXGfitRmWRzzIHQP0MnZrEp2yI/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-26+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25886.47.09.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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他的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">P/L
CHART </span>如下 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>最大獲利<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1157-441= 716.
max</span>損失<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">=284)</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgebRACx9rbDRCiV9RYHObD55UkbTqvmnSWKdUSscrczh7aJsdyB7QJ81rVE9fZyGb26LmAerfLlrnJWBGcFqUbPE-iUpGSx_Xrza67pN-RFZZwpPvdmff-qxUtxfGagJ9Cb6X6BpQEb3k/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-26+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25887.02.08.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="452" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgebRACx9rbDRCiV9RYHObD55UkbTqvmnSWKdUSscrczh7aJsdyB7QJ81rVE9fZyGb26LmAerfLlrnJWBGcFqUbPE-iUpGSx_Xrza67pN-RFZZwpPvdmff-qxUtxfGagJ9Cb6X6BpQEb3k/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-26+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25887.02.08.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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因為最大的損失已經鎖定<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你不用每天神經兮兮<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>精神緊張<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.</span></div>
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如果利用艾倫交易系統<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>只要在 大趨勢兩條線中間<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>用這個策略就好</div>
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勝率很高<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, 當然</span>可以用 現股來<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">cover
call, </span>可以在省下<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">161
points</span></div>
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超過了<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>接近<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">) </span>大趨勢的上下線條<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>只要用單邊就好<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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我目前的想法因為<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ae2
</span>領先上漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>但是大趨勢加上<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">bb
band , 仍然</span>在<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">20 weeks ma</span>下方<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>
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我猜測不會瘋狂上漲 ( I GUESS ONLY 小漲)</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoF-ei3s33Lj2s-laVkO1ZtUJrLbd3t_2KT4CCtrq3MxRpqZk8YAXv49JhTFvM1Wrgy_9csCDNdNwvgl_TSDyN38CLIOLA9GE52ZZCXafe2nIYWWJxUMb_MqAKC61Mn01NkSawzMJyIkM/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-26+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25887.10.13.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="576" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjoF-ei3s33Lj2s-laVkO1ZtUJrLbd3t_2KT4CCtrq3MxRpqZk8YAXv49JhTFvM1Wrgy_9csCDNdNwvgl_TSDyN38CLIOLA9GE52ZZCXafe2nIYWWJxUMb_MqAKC61Mn01NkSawzMJyIkM/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-26+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25887.10.13.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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根據這個 想法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
sell 19200 call , </span>收到權利金 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">716,
</span>也就是說 恆生指數上漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">19200+716=19916</span></div>
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我才需要<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">sell</span>現股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>否則 只要利用 權利金來結算就好. </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgO_LqLZJCQbeZq0yi9etwL9DAfP94CdYCLJQ9gixZ26CL95xCwCXSIL0CXsls9uniYruwoAciA99Cuq33bTS9Aza5X9Lw6jinLvoOdkBB1rMwYq9KKpJ6l99baIwcwtxQL3ov0PWAPkUU/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.46.29.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgO_LqLZJCQbeZq0yi9etwL9DAfP94CdYCLJQ9gixZ26CL95xCwCXSIL0CXsls9uniYruwoAciA99Cuq33bTS9Aza5X9Lw6jinLvoOdkBB1rMwYq9KKpJ6l99baIwcwtxQL3ov0PWAPkUU/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.46.29.png" width="576" /></a></div>
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相反地<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>如果大盤下跌<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>我 一口單 400w twd 2800.hk, 收到<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">716 points </span>權利金 (about15w twd) <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>我的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2800.hk
</span>現股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(19200-716=18484) ,
</span>成本變成<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">18484 </span>的價位</div>
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所以老外 把 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">covered
call </span>叫做 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">win win </span>雙贏的策略</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">allan</span>之前學了很多選擇權的調整策略
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">adjust strategy, </span>這一次香港期貨選擇權的經驗<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>我學到了越單純越好<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>每個月只要訂定單一策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>到時候就等他結算<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span>中間不要再花腦筋了</div>
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正常的調整策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>都是趨勢確定以後<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>解除掉一方的策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>例如確定 多方<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>要解除空 方<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
但是像這一段時間的香港股市<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>上漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">500</span>點<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>在下跌
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">500points,</span>在上漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">500points,
</span>在下跌<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">500</span>點<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>反反覆覆的上漲下跌<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你所有的 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">adjust</span>策略都沒有用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>只是把損失<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>不斷的擴大而已</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">so
</span>我目前採取的這個<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">covered
call</span>策略 (用選擇權來避險) <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>未來的結果<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>都在計劃之內<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
讓我非常的安心</div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
這個想法是我用金錢換來的經驗<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>大家要把它學起來</div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com19tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-89286186262046426112016-02-24T11:41:00.000-08:002016-02-25T03:19:25.081-08:00 香港選擇權策略 PUT INDEX , SHORT STRADDLE INDEX<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/08185181742237987598" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">黃國維</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"> 已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/06/acpe.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Acpe
</span></span></span></span></a></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/06/acpe.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">計算的方法</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">allan</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">:</span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這次</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://2800.hk/" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2800.hk</span></span></span></span></a></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">跌得夠深了</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">短期之內可能很難均值回歸了 </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><br /></span></span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">對於<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ACPE
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">還是有強烈的信心<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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只不過就像您所說的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">沒有人知道什麼時候會均值回歸</span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;">
我對<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ACPE
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">的信心<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">來自我人生的歷練 AND 生活經驗<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">景氣總是會循環,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: grey;">
人的情緒都是在樂觀<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">AND
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">悲觀 ,中間擺盪</span></div>
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但是在這空頭等待的過程<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">大部分人都會失去信心<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">有什麼方法可以讓我們度過這個時期<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">??</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: grey;">
艾倫之前體會到的是現金流的方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">---
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">專注在股息<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">不要專注在價差<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.......</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALLAN</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">去年開始研究選擇權<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">選擇權的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">INCOME
STRATEGY-- </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">賣方為主的策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;">
也是一個很好的方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">在下跌的過程中<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
COVERED CALL </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">收到權利金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">可以讓你不斷地降低成本<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">有了選擇權的思考模式<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">你不必像一般人<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">買完股票就一天到晚<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">看著股市波動<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">每天祈禱
他上漲</span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: grey;"> <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">HSI
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">三月結算如果繼續下跌<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">每一口選擇權可以收到十多萬
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">TWD
</span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">EX
.SELL 19200 CALL 716 X50 X4.3= 153940 TWD </span></span></span></span></span>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">我想擴大
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">選擇權口
數<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">---
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">一口選擇權代表四百多萬台幣<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
SO </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">繼續購買<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2800.HK)</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCWDwVEinuM3ndz5GUI6jLpVeIF8UGUSeOEHOen0c6o7XbmlxkKkhQkQ7Il5pVPCqQC3oeRNPxmjRwQP_ktyg9GatTR9aJOJ8_fNwQ6TqLoOl0rt8tnl6URUVSfV0-JwTTSI-cVNMRsdQ/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.47.48.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCWDwVEinuM3ndz5GUI6jLpVeIF8UGUSeOEHOen0c6o7XbmlxkKkhQkQ7Il5pVPCqQC3oeRNPxmjRwQP_ktyg9GatTR9aJOJ8_fNwQ6TqLoOl0rt8tnl6URUVSfV0-JwTTSI-cVNMRsdQ/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.47.48.png" width="602" /></a></div>
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FUTURE 也可以做COVERED CALL, BUT 他隨時結算, 會讓你不斷地買進賣出</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3qufQKQvn5aZgImBN-N41yRBxGAr_lL0GNiMJ7Qxh5xYpa4Q_JQ0QV30mue-DcfMe4w5fYQalS7yMPidQcsbLt7byce9SLuhvy1jDZ-P6rR1CRrXtcKmcUgSnFcgsvzhNWw4KaQp-3BI/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25883.47.26.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="468" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3qufQKQvn5aZgImBN-N41yRBxGAr_lL0GNiMJ7Qxh5xYpa4Q_JQ0QV30mue-DcfMe4w5fYQalS7yMPidQcsbLt7byce9SLuhvy1jDZ-P6rR1CRrXtcKmcUgSnFcgsvzhNWw4KaQp-3BI/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25883.47.26.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"> 最近我
思考<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">CBOE,
BXY, BXM, PUT INDEX <a href="http://www.cboe.com/">http://www.cboe.com/</a></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;">
我也做了香港<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">HSI
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">的
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BACKTEST--
PUT INDEX , </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">艾倫驚訝的發現
你不花一毛錢, SELL PUT 可以多得到 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2.77 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">單位<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, (VS COVERED CALL =1.91 單位) </span></span></span></span></span><br />
<span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span>
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<div style="background-color: #fefdfa; color: #333333; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 14.56px; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><br class="Apple-interchange-newline" />allan </span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">用上一篇文章的策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">, <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/02/2800hk-covered-call.html" style="color: #7d181e; text-decoration: none;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/02/2800hk-covered-call.html</a></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8OSajEdymLqcSHoYHR_WAiiNQMLwRcijPEYPAedIoyMnlcs3jG1bSvTtwjrqoAxDxttXGbcXVC30rFDRSXXnvL9-AnZy5ZaVu9T1gu5_m2AkqqTI0_Jqd8W6M1HU4VZtYlkpIES9u3TA/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.55.01.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="128" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8OSajEdymLqcSHoYHR_WAiiNQMLwRcijPEYPAedIoyMnlcs3jG1bSvTtwjrqoAxDxttXGbcXVC30rFDRSXXnvL9-AnZy5ZaVu9T1gu5_m2AkqqTI0_Jqd8W6M1HU4VZtYlkpIES9u3TA/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.55.01.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"> </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">如果利用
趨勢<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">TREND
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">想法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">如果<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">INDEX
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">大於十個月的平均<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">我就<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SELL
PUT ( </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">看不
跌<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)...
IF INDEX < 10</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">月的平均<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">我就
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SELL
CALL . </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">這個
策略也不錯<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">不必花一毛錢可以得到
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2.46 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">單位</span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="color: grey; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"> (VS COVERED CALL =1.91 單位)</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiAwpeJ9-mLQ2NfmxR7SMo1L_K2a6jeogVuyG65k8AOBsrw4kKvuLwU0OnClH1lFGOHUp1g5sS1ls6QYb6ARqopnn4mj-bBzXiPu1fxw5uegTNxKYm3QiHyOe2Rk7dfbeVtT_ODdpBNjWc/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-22+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25887.27.30.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="388" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiAwpeJ9-mLQ2NfmxR7SMo1L_K2a6jeogVuyG65k8AOBsrw4kKvuLwU0OnClH1lFGOHUp1g5sS1ls6QYb6ARqopnn4mj-bBzXiPu1fxw5uegTNxKYm3QiHyOe2Rk7dfbeVtT_ODdpBNjWc/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-22+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25887.27.30.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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更有趣的是<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">我如果同時<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SELL
CALL AND SELL PUT ( SHORT STRADDLE), </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">得到兩倍的權利金,</span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"> 結果不是漲 就是跌,只有一方需要結算<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, SHORT STRADDLE </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">結果會如何呢<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">??</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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你可以不花一毛錢<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">多得到<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">4.685 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">單位<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">....
WOOOW.... </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">這個非常厲害<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.......</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"> </span><span style="color: grey; font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;">(VS COVERED CALL =1.91 單位)</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQlTpD5x5CRt0qsDI53lx4lvYLa9AbgGi7WFReZtPfDuoABUYrrfXqErxA04mI-2oHjCxuC3IC31mZ4ktQCW5p1r5KZ5-yDYTqLrZtLyOa2Uyr351GTOLiF8Q2DPGPascmvJCA78t3F8U/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.50.51.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="378" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjQlTpD5x5CRt0qsDI53lx4lvYLa9AbgGi7WFReZtPfDuoABUYrrfXqErxA04mI-2oHjCxuC3IC31mZ4ktQCW5p1r5KZ5-yDYTqLrZtLyOa2Uyr351GTOLiF8Q2DPGPascmvJCA78t3F8U/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-25+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25882.50.51.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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這些策略真的很讚<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">還可以自己變化<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">比如說
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SHORT
STRADDLE , BUY OTM CALL AND PUT </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">變成鐵蝴蝶策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">....
OR SHORT STRADDLE </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">利用現股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">COVER
SELL CALL, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">利用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BUY
OTM PUT COVER SELL PUT ….</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: grey;">這個方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">可以減少你資產的
波動<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">權利金現金流
會帶給你心理上很大的 安慰<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">讓你投資股票不會害怕<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">...
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">這個策略還可以做退休規劃<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">每個月得到現金流<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">...
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">真的很讚<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.....</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">跟大家分享</span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-44410787179727651482016-02-20T18:06:00.002-08:002016-02-20T18:06:40.385-08:00 台灣 期貨 covered call 回 測 vs 香港恆生指數 covered call<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/07848004461236792114" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">MK
C</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/02/covered-call-backtest-mlpl.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">香港
恆生指數</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
HSI COVERED CALL BACKTEST, </span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/02/covered-call-backtest-mlpl.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">期貨選擇權的經驗</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">----M...</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">hi
allan, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">那台股還是可以用</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">future</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">代替現貨做</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">covered
call</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">吗</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">? </span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Hi
mk:</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
這個問題我思考過<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">我可以跟你分享</span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
總體來說<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">你要把期貨當做股票<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">你的權利金一定要放比較多</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
才可以免除心理上的干擾<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
future</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">隨時隨地在計算現價<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">)</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
如果大盤下跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">你收到權利金<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
but </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">你的期貨結算是賠錢的<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">你要掏腰包<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">出來結算<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
你要可以忍受這樣的感覺<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">如果你感覺不好<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">乾脆直接擁有<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">0050</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
台灣因為波動率比較小<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">所以權利金相對比較少<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
atm cover call </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">大概只有<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2%....
(</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">三月只有<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1.68%)</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">allan
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">用上一篇文章的策略<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/02/2800hk-covered-call.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/02/2800hk-covered-call.html</a></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">它有兩種情況</span></span></span></div>
<ol>
<li><div style="border: none; line-height: 0.32cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm; widows: 1;">
<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果上漲 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你需要有另外的股票</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">( </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">儲備股票</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">), </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">賣出變現</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">結算選擇權的買
方</span></span></span></span></div>
</li>
<li><div style="border: none; line-height: 0.32cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm; widows: 1;">
<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果下跌</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你可以完全獲得權利金</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">. </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我的想法就把權利金</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">買當月結算時的
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">oo50.tw
<span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">成為儲備股票</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我利用</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">excel
backtest ( from yahoo data , </span></span></span></span>台灣大盤指數歷史資料<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span>只有從<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1997</span></span></span></span>年<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">7</span></span></span></span>月開始<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">), </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這個方</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="line-height: 0.32cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">法</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span>在香港用 同樣的時間<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(from
1997-7 ), </span></span></span></span>同樣的方法 <span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不用花你一毛錢
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">利用權利金</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: times new roman, serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你可以多賺 </span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">1.921
</span><span style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">單位</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
在台灣你卻要賠掉<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1.087
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">單位</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_RZY9gQ1dW9epBkudSf1ZRu11FlOMppo-d5ixRPbeg9RS0pD4souBeBkWjfOn5p0QyxppaG_k1QCKk6Pkj29qL9MrMDpGFlCf7cqpjek019ftqaRgmAnc1-PLFKHh1jbA5VYWx1FVM0M/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-21+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%258810.01.57.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="76" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_RZY9gQ1dW9epBkudSf1ZRu11FlOMppo-d5ixRPbeg9RS0pD4souBeBkWjfOn5p0QyxppaG_k1QCKk6Pkj29qL9MrMDpGFlCf7cqpjek019ftqaRgmAnc1-PLFKHh1jbA5VYWx1FVM0M/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-21+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%258810.01.57.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">why?
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">因為權利金收得比較少<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
3.5% vs 2%) , </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">下跌的時候<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">台灣股市有金管會護盤<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">下跌不夠深<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
你可以買到的單位數比較小<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">上漲的時候只能收到
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2%,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">下跌的時候<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">沒有辦法累積大量的單位</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">so
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">結果<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">完全不一樣</span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
比較恐怖的是<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">同樣的時間台股是下跌的<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">香港上漲<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
so </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">你的台灣<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">總資產是下跌的 from 10000 to 8300 vs hsi 16300 to 19300</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQjBTZNSimcQ2-7u4MKoWgiCHQ_LYY686DpzmuuQFCMH5Tb3_AEJeH91qcWlkKk3WVOFcs91xSuNVQF1iPyjfm8J-sFmSNVhwqBI7I-lVV1NNzaytMh15mV8FL2FhG7KfuYwMkDjFClAw/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-21+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25889.59.09.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="456" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQjBTZNSimcQ2-7u4MKoWgiCHQ_LYY686DpzmuuQFCMH5Tb3_AEJeH91qcWlkKk3WVOFcs91xSuNVQF1iPyjfm8J-sFmSNVhwqBI7I-lVV1NNzaytMh15mV8FL2FhG7KfuYwMkDjFClAw/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-21+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%25889.59.09.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
我也有<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">backtest
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">過
台灣大盤 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">future
, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;">利用<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">collar
strategy--- buy future + sell call buy put, or buy future +buy put, </span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
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績效都很差</div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
而且<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">0050</span>和大盤的連動<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>只有百分之<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">95 ,
(2800.hk =</span>恆生指數<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">)
</span>就算使用<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">0050.tw</span>股票<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">covered
call , </span>連動率的差別也要考慮在內<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>而且<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">0050 </span>股息<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>要面對一大堆的<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">tax ,
</span>所以感覺香港的策略<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span>應該比較可行<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span><br />
</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-23997251804777989742016-02-19T06:05:00.001-08:002016-02-19T06:23:12.237-08:00 香港恆生指數 2800.hk covered call 策略<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/14732987130422390193" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">William
Hsieh</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/blog-post_19.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">期貨選擇權</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
</span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/blog-post_19.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">停損的方法</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">allan:</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">感謝您的分享,小弟非常認同您的作法,但一直有個疑問,現在小弟的部位是</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">sell
future+sell put</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的組合,這樣的一個方式,我該在甚麼時候轉成</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">buy
future + sell
call?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">指數</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">7000</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">點以下</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果多空部位長期存在,是否有一套計畫可以執行</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">?</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">當然這問題也涉及了口袋有多深了</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">XD </span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">hi
william:</span></div>
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我文章中提到的
多空<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">future </span>同時存在<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>如果情況明朗<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>可以解掉一方<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(leg
out) , </span>可惜這個方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>我在台灣大獲全勝<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>在香港完全失效<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>因為香港上升一段時間<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>可以在連續重挫<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>之後又連續 狂漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">........
</span>讓我不得不重新思考我的策略</div>
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我是利用 艾倫交易系統<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>當時已經指標背離<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
( </span>價格創新低<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, ae2 </span>沒有創新低<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)
</span>我覺得他會上漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>於是我將空方解掉<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>後來連續重挫<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>讓你措手不及 ( 這是恆生指數的周線, 日 線 上下波動非常厲害)</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibO5o7XCxfuVlabGgILGcBlAU2zq3dCMjhHUehvFdB1TWHQPOPm3zm7-stJ2QnrvTxLi13ZVizl8BhG3IoRO9xs-2aKBcm1uORSGWamlZzwlNCikTj3tmfqJAVp-d09BlgLkzjjNU_eS0/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-19+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25889.59.11.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="560" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibO5o7XCxfuVlabGgILGcBlAU2zq3dCMjhHUehvFdB1TWHQPOPm3zm7-stJ2QnrvTxLi13ZVizl8BhG3IoRO9xs-2aKBcm1uORSGWamlZzwlNCikTj3tmfqJAVp-d09BlgLkzjjNU_eS0/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-19+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25889.59.11.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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我現在知道<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">--</span>艾倫交易系統屬於長線
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">weekly. </span>利用期貨比較難操作<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>因為他一天到晚跟你結算<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>我現在比較喜歡利用現股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2800.hk
, </span>每一個單位<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">400w ,
</span>一個單位<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>一個月大概可以收到十多萬權利金</div>
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它有兩種情況</div>
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<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
如果上漲 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你需要有另外的股票<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>儲備股票<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">), </span>賣出變現<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>結算選擇權的買 方</div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
如果下跌<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你可以完全獲得權利金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span>我的想法就把權利金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>買當月結算時的<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2800.hk,
</span>成為儲備股票</div>
</li>
</ol>
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我利用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">excel
backtest, </span>這個方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>不用花你一毛錢 ,利用權利金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>你可以多賺
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1.913 </span>單位</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVXbmzl1M7QMygCkt3GW-a851UHQl_cqW7skVofVLz2n7veQ3LG68CW9_-KuOpi7jOn5hgLuZtu4VF4sZDl0eN5uMySRgJ691w0i0LtNjW3pCdSo155EB51hOE9rggbO2M1O9u-_GBK1E/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-19+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25889.42.56.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="120" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiVXbmzl1M7QMygCkt3GW-a851UHQl_cqW7skVofVLz2n7veQ3LG68CW9_-KuOpi7jOn5hgLuZtu4VF4sZDl0eN5uMySRgJ691w0i0LtNjW3pCdSo155EB51hOE9rggbO2M1O9u-_GBK1E/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-19+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25889.42.56.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
如果<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1986/12
</span>你買下一個單位的恆生指數<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
from 2568 to 18918 (2016-2), </span>資產成長<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">7.366
</span>倍 年化報酬率 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>沒有計算現金股息<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)=7.11%,
</span>加上現金股息<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">3%=10.11%</span></div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
如果利用上面的策略<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你可以得到<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">from 2568
to (1+1.913) x18918. </span>資產成長 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">21.45
</span>倍<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">. </span>年化報酬率<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>沒有計算現金股息<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)=11.12%.
</span>加上現金股息<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">3%=14.12%</span></div>
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<br />
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
這個方法完全是 傻瓜機械
操作<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>如果利用艾倫交易系統<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span>我覺得績效會更好</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-37023684687467453262016-02-17T08:25:00.000-08:002016-02-17T09:25:38.785-08:00香港 恆生指數, HSI COVERED CALL BACKTEST, 期貨選擇權的經驗----MLPL 已經強制贖回,<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/06615508923004049784" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Not
a Blogger</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/07/2x-etn.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2X
ETN </span></span></span></span></a></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/07/2x-etn.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">有風險</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/07/2x-etn.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">要小心風險</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.......
</span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/07/2x-etn.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">再推薦一次被動收入</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.</span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2015/07/2x-etn.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">現金流的觀念</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Allan
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">您好</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">:</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">在下於</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2015</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">年中持有部分的</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">MLPL</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">也已經半年</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">今日突然發現</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2/1
2016</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">時有筆非我下單的交易賣出全部</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SHARE</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我進場時是</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">49.xx</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">元
一路買到</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">30</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">左右</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">然後我在</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">TD
AMERITRADE </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">網站再也蒐不到</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">MLPL</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的報價跟圖表了</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">請問是我被強制平倉還是這個</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETN</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已經被結束掉了</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">??</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">謝謝</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">! </span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">HI
BLOGGER:</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">MLPL
</span>已經被<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">UBS </span>強制贖回 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>下跌超過了臨界點<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)
UBS 2016/1 </span>已經公告.</div>
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因為<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2X</span>槓桿操作<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>如果<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">UBS </span>沒有強制贖回<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>結果 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">NAV</span>會等於零<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ALLAN</span>回顧自己的文章<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>我有一直提醒風險<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>希望大家 注意資產配置<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>
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希望大家不要 受傷<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">...
<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/2x-etn.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/07/2x-etn.html</a></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">UBS
2X ETN, 2015 </span>年 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">9 OR 10
</span>月份開始<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>金管會已經命令<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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就算是 複委托
專業投資人<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">( </span>資產大於<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">3000W)</span></div>
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也不能買進<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.(
</span>只能賣出<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">) .. </span>也就是
金管會考量<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>因為風險太高<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>全面禁止這個產品在台灣銷售<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.
</span>這個角度看來<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>複委托又再一次顯示了他的好處 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>有一個專業的 金管會把關<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">)</span></div>
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另外我想分享香港期貨選擇權的經驗<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
2016/1 </span>艾倫結束所有的台灣期貨選擇權<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>開始操作香港選擇權<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>當時以為香港 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">AND
</span>台灣會差不多<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>後來發現香港的 波動率太大了<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>上下震盪都是超過一千點<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, HSI </span>期貨選擇權都非常的恐怖<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">... 讓你 不得不 買進賣出. 回頭來看. 真的太耗費精神, SO 我一直思考最好的策略是什麼???</span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXtLU_1bdOSaslJgED0DszcfJU4RZyL55qkUFCtzZoB_rFeyeVfhyphenhyphencbWSAq1v9K2bcIn0T7h6TaCoAEPnX9WlSsWkbZwrjmsN7Hu7Y9do935QhXTDxXI0s0RCioBfM1YFUbEIfH2CC6T0/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-17+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.28.09.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="352" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXtLU_1bdOSaslJgED0DszcfJU4RZyL55qkUFCtzZoB_rFeyeVfhyphenhyphencbWSAq1v9K2bcIn0T7h6TaCoAEPnX9WlSsWkbZwrjmsN7Hu7Y9do935QhXTDxXI0s0RCioBfM1YFUbEIfH2CC6T0/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-17+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.28.09.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgix2cw0knlG-xlRsBAH822KBezFcrxTEHIi-Dym1SKG5wKp79TKFBxRYe_A4w94YNBgnlvhL9H54_LrZM42JetpYpGLqIpS5ofRBL0YbDi1YV3Ndi6voq-m2322xVw9IyFsVBq7KNzZT0/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-17+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.21.21.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgix2cw0knlG-xlRsBAH822KBezFcrxTEHIi-Dym1SKG5wKp79TKFBxRYe_A4w94YNBgnlvhL9H54_LrZM42JetpYpGLqIpS5ofRBL0YbDi1YV3Ndi6voq-m2322xVw9IyFsVBq7KNzZT0/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-17+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.21.21.png" width="518" /></a></div>
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回顧這一段時間<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>艾倫思索.......最好的策略還是<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVERED
CALL, </span>而且要持有現股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>之前認為<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">FUTURE</span>可以代替現股<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>現在覺得非常困難<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>因為 期貨商<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>隨時隨地要跟你結算<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你不管他都不行<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>因為他還會用簡訊通知你<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>準備把你平倉</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ALLAN
BACK TEST 1986/12/ TO 2016/2 HSI-- COVERED CALL</span></div>
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用 現在的波動率來看<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>如果你每個月<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">SELL
ATM CALL, </span>可以收到<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">3.5%
</span>權利金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>現在香港選擇權一口單的價值大概等於四百萬<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>一個月可以收到十幾萬台幣</div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiDWmPvIfIPJsudS3wL7yF-Q8cOnrB_p60qHfPL-ZtijgHEInc20kAg4xwP_79z8jQkIs2SqBYzQ1X0lDnaOBtbfFzXKX1h4BWEhQxzssxU7faBmzRqaapuMyOhl68EW_hfbT5wri2xD30/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-17+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.31.01.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="514" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiDWmPvIfIPJsudS3wL7yF-Q8cOnrB_p60qHfPL-ZtijgHEInc20kAg4xwP_79z8jQkIs2SqBYzQ1X0lDnaOBtbfFzXKX1h4BWEhQxzssxU7faBmzRqaapuMyOhl68EW_hfbT5wri2xD30/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-02-17+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%258811.31.01.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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所以假設<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">1986/12.
</span>我們開始買恆生指數<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">2568.3,
</span>如果<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">>3,5% ( 只有33% 的機會) , </span>你要準備現金
準備交割<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY SIDE. 最多一口需要準備70W 台幣, 有三分之二的時間, 你可以收到現金</span></div>
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恆生指數就是<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY
AND HOLD . </span>讓他隨著波動而波動</div>
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測試的結果<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>原來的恆生指數 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY
AND HOLD --FROM 2568 TO 18918 … </span>
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另外你收到權利金 減去 付出的權利金= 總共<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">30451.67 POINTS </span>
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相當於你另外多賺了
接近一點五倍的指數<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>這樣的
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BACK TEST,</span>讓人家很興奮</div>
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在強勢多頭的時候, 你也可以看情形 SELL OTM CALL, OR SELL ATM CALL + BUY OTM CALL , 預計可以賺更多</div>
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這個策略, 我覺得可以長期實行<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>免除波動的干擾<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>跟大家分享這個策略</div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-3899690955718845782016-01-25T05:17:00.001-08:002016-01-25T05:17:38.362-08:00持有遠月的期貨代替0050.tw 回 測<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/02270788713536688382" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">鴟夷子皮</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/2800hk-ii.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">利用香港期貨
代替</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2800.HK
(II)---
</span></span></span></span></span></span></a><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/2800hk-ii.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">艾倫交易系統</span></span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /><br />Allan</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我想跟你請教兩點</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br />1.</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">將期指當做</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETF</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">是不是持有遠月的較有利,這樣不用每月轉倉</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br />2.</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">若要月月轉倉,是否要持有到結算,我是覺得若逆價差擴大到</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">50</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">點以上就可以轉到下月</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">請教</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Allan</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大的看法</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">謝謝 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></span><br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
</div>
<a name='more'></a><br />
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<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">HI
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">皮哥</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">:</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">你說的這個問題很有趣</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可以研究看看</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">每個月轉
倉有好處</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為
逆價差的關係</span></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /><br /><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/12/0050-vs.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/12/0050-vs.html</span></span></span></span></span></a><br />
</span>我<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BACKTEST
</span></span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">看看
遠月的 期貨 </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">(9
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">個月的期貨</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">),
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">讓他自動結算</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">結算後第一天開盤價在買進</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">結果</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
from 2003.6.25 to 2015.12 </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">績效</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">每個月
轉 倉 </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">>
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">九個月轉
倉</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">>
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">持有指數</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">>
0050.tw</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">245%>226.5%>167.7%>139%</span></span></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com32tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-38793202059406157292016-01-22T05:43:00.002-08:002016-01-22T05:43:42.922-08:00利用香港期貨 代替2800.HK (II)--- 艾倫交易系統<div style="font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<div style="font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">之前這一篇文章</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
ALLAN </span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">就提出了 </span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">:
</span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">利用香港期貨 代替</span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">2800.HK</span></div>
<div style="font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/2800hk.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/2800hk.html</a></span></div>
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<a name='more'></a><br />
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<div style="font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">最近我看了一本香港人寫的書: 歐陽一心 寫的</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他也是利用香港指數期貨來代替</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">etf
</span></span></span></span></div>
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<div style="font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">原來很多人都知道這個秘密</span></div>
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<br />
</div>
<div style="line-height: 0.53cm; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">FROM
</span><span style="color: #333333;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif, PMingLiU;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>期權投機客獲利手帳</b></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><a href="http://www.books.com.tw/products/0010658367">http://www.books.com.tw/products/0010658367</a></span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIHRRb5cna3UR4t0REBdIhLAAMSu-C8kpXhi1ufmFxlUdwekygb1mpf9PuRomV1nrWui7gXU3sH7oqIXbL1oqUY2lpVBsuTnV5eLaLOc9fZeu_tSEfglOlCdQwKw7ECZrxn46kARFv6zg/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-01-22+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25888.56.38.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="542" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIHRRb5cna3UR4t0REBdIhLAAMSu-C8kpXhi1ufmFxlUdwekygb1mpf9PuRomV1nrWui7gXU3sH7oqIXbL1oqUY2lpVBsuTnV5eLaLOc9fZeu_tSEfglOlCdQwKw7ECZrxn46kARFv6zg/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-01-22+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25888.56.38.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #1155cc;">
歐陽先生買 香港指數期貨<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">+
COLLAR STRATEGY... </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">來保護資產</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"> 每個月轉
倉<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
過去十年以來的 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BACKTEST
, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">年化報酬率<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">11
%</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">VS
2800.HK </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">年化報酬率<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">5.76
%</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2008</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">年金融風暴的時候<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">最大跌幅
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">43.2%
VS 2800.HK =63%.... </span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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</div>
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<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
這個策略還可以節省保證金<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">你不必大量的金錢放在<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2800.HK,
</span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
剩下的現金可以放在收利息的帳戶<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">照樣得到> 指數報酬<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">而且可以製造更好的<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALPHA</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
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<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
前幾天和美女聊天<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">我跟 美女說: </span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">根據我的經驗</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
在大趨勢的下緣<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">多空交戰非常厲害<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
現在只剩下美國可以觀察<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">關鍵價位<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SP500=1840
</span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
結果當天晚上 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2016-1-20
, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">美國股票大跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
早上醒來<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">後來居然反轉向上<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">上下震盪
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">多空交戰非常厲害</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"> 這些事情
非常有趣<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
這是昨天的<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">SP500
AE2 </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">已經反轉向上<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">今天香港股市繼續
大漲</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
這些關於艾倫交易系統的觀察<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">都可以給我們一些有趣的想法<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
這是巧合嗎<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">??
MAYBE OR MAYBE NOT </span></span></span></span></span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;">
我們可以繼續觀察下去</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"> 艾倫開始
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BUY
2016-9 FUTURE , </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">減少空單口數</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"><br /></span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<br />
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #1155cc;"><br /></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">allan
lin </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">於
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">2016</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">年<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">1</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">月<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">20</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #1155cc;">日
星期三寫道:</span></div>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">hi
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">美女</span></span></span></span></blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<br />
</blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">對啊</span></span></span></span></blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">在大趨勢的</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">lower
band </span></span></span></span></span></blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">會上下震盪很厲害</span></span></span></span></blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<br />
</blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<br />
</blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我現在在觀察美國</span></span></span></span></blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">如果跌破
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">sp500=1840</span></span></span></span></span></blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可能要小心</span></span></span></span></blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<br />
</blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可以繼續用選擇權過期貨</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">加碼避險</span></span></span></span></blockquote>
<blockquote style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; padding: 0cm;">
<br />
</blockquote>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="color: #1155cc;">美女</span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我覺得
如果把期貨當作</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETF
, </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">用投資的眼光比較好</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不能用投機的眼光</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為一般人沒有辦法接受上下的
市場震盪</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">BUT
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">把它當作</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETF
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">到時候就是準備
轉倉</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">香港人
的做法也不錯</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">HSI
</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">指數期貨加上選擇權</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">....FUTURE
+ COLLAR </span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">可以節省保證金</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">不會有保證金
追繳的問題</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">而且可以減少資產的波動</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">這些想法真的很讚</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">完全可以用在台灣股市</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">節省很多交易成本</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="border: none; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1; padding: 0cm;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #500050;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></span><br />
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
<br />
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br />
</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-10342429326312793382016-01-19T18:30:00.001-08:002016-01-19T18:44:02.781-08:00期貨選擇權. 停損的方法<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">FROM
OOO:</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">HI
ALLAN ,
</span>現在的另一個問題是,如果感覺開始要反轉了,要如何逐步操作了,我想了一整個晚上。先逐步減近月的空單,增加遠月的口數。然後再慢慢做<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">cover
call </span>。這樣可行嗎<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;"><br /></span>?</div>
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網友 的問題<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>一般人都碰得到<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>我自己也思考過</div>
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可以把我的經驗跟大家分享</div>
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昨天 港股大漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>台股也 漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>一般人會認為要反轉<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>
</div>
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如果用期貨的眼光<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>因為槓桿太大<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>應該要馬上停損<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>避免損失加大</div>
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一般人 買賣股票 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(FUTURE)
, </span>設定價格停損 這個方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>實際操作<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>會遭遇到兩個問題</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">A.
</span>如果隔天跳空 跌停<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你的停損價格沒有用<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>因為他會成交在 跌停價<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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萬一<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>如果沒有
買方<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>你的股票
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(FUTURE)</span>會沒辦法賣出<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>無法 跌停 停損</div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">B.</span>如果直接停損<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>行情上上下下<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>就像
昨天港股大漲<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>今天港股繼續大跌</div>
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你會覺得被巴來巴去<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>一天到晚在停損<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你的心情會很不高興<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>這個 直接停損的策略
</div>
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讓你無法長期 執行</div>
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那麼有什麼其他的方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>可以避免這種情況<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">??</span></div>
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書上教我們利用選擇權避險</div>
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舉例來說<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>幾天前<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span>我放空
大台 指 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">FEB AT 7707, </span>昨天大漲</div>
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你可以<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">BUY
7700 FEB CALL, </span>付出一些保險金<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>
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不需要馬上停 損<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>讓時間 來作為緩衝區, 來證明一切<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>是否真的反轉</div>
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另外<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,ALLAN</span>體會到一個方法也不錯<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,</span></div>
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我買小台指<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>中間的差價就是停損價格<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>無論向上向下</div>
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中間的差價已經固定<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你就不會害怕<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">.....
</span>因為你已經 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">STOP LOSS,</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">ALLAN
</span>加上 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">COVERED CALL ,
COVERED PUT </span>收回一些權利金</div>
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也許 很多人認為這樣買多買空<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
PROFIT/ LOSS </span>不是會互相抵消嗎<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">?
</span>
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但是實際上的情形 市場行情上上下下<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你可以機動調整<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>兩個部位</div>
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當一方行情確認的時候<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你在調整就好<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>到時候被巴來巴去的機率會降低很多<br />
<br />
港股昨天 每一口MINI HSI 單, 獲利 248 點=19580-19332= 248, 後來繼續下跌, 在賣出小恆 避險<br />
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根據文獻的 統計<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>你用選擇權 停損的方法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">,
</span>
</div>
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大量 節省買進賣出 的交易次數
<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">AND </span>交易成本 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>減少買賣次數 <span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">50% TO
80%)</span></div>
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而艾倫的這個想法<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">(
</span>買賣大小台指<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">, </span>買賣
遠 近<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">. </span>月指數<span style="font-family: "times new roman" , serif;">),
</span>我也覺得不錯
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大家可以參考參考</div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-74132261654711345482016-01-16T16:45:00.001-08:002016-01-16T16:45:14.496-08:00艾倫交易系統 --- 賣近月期貨.買遠月期貨<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
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</div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">FROM
OOO:</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ALLAN
</span>你好,看到你寫賣近月,買遠月。<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/2800hk.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/2800hk.html</a></div>
<div>
也覺得很讚,也上網查了一下,發現也很多在說明。但都沒提到實際操作情況。如果期指一直往下,近月的部分在當月結算時,當然獲利很多,但遠月的也會出現很大的<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">loss</span>,這時該怎麼辦?</div>
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在這文章中,</div>
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<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/2800hk.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/2800hk.html</a></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ALLAN
</span>主要的想法是利用<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ALLAN</span>交易系統<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>賣近月期貨<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.</span>買遠月期貨<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>這個想法跟網路上查到的 期貨時間價差<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">---TIME
SPREAD , </span>想法不一樣<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>當然 我的做法 也有 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">TIME
SPREAD</span>這個好處<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">....
</span>各位觀察<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, </span>下面的報價<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>我的單子<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, </span>任何時間<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>兩個一起平倉<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.
</span>都是正報酬</div>
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目前香港台灣已經跌破大趨勢<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>美國也要跌破大趨勢<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">(
</span>關鍵價位 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">SP500=
AROUND 1840 )</span></div>
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根據我的經驗<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>只有兩種情況<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, </span>再
大趨勢附近反彈<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, OR </span>迅速下跌
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">( </span>因為一般人對<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">LOSS</span>的厭惡比較高<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.LOSS
AVERSION..</span>所以 會迅速下跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">) YAHOO 的DATA, 有點延遲. 台灣香港已經跌破大趨勢</span></div>
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我的計劃<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>如果繼續下跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, </span>繼續放空
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">NEAR MONTH FUTURE, </span>
</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
二月份會 獲利很多<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
( </span>因為 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">LOSS AVERSION).... 再繼續 SELL MARCH, APRIL...FUTURE</span></div>
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BREAK 大趨勢的下緣, 我會特別注意AE2 隨時可能反彈, </div>
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SO 我預測 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">FAR
MONTH (JUNE) </span>到時候會反彈....</div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>如果 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">FAR MONTH </span>到時候不反彈<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.
</span>可以加碼買進 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">FAR
MONTH FUTURE , </span>比如說六月到期<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">BUY
2016 -12 FUTURE, </span>這個相當於選擇權的<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ROLL
OUT AND DOWN</span></div>
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目前<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">6
</span>月份<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, </span>期貨報價<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">18773,
</span>我印象中 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">EURO
CRISIS, HSI </span>最低<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">16000,
2008 </span>金融風暴 最低大概<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">=10000.....HSI </span>目前本益比<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">=7.9....
</span>在下跌就是越來越便宜<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
BUY FAR MONTH FUTURE, </span>我覺得沒有風險, 為什麼沒有風險???</div>
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因為. <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ALLAN </span>把香港 期貨 當作是<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">2800.HK. 我本來就計劃下跌的時候要買進2800.HK, 期貨 交易, 可以節省 非常多的</span>交易成本,</div>
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我的心態是 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">FULLY
FUNDED FUTURE INVESTOR … </span>目前 小恆生<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>一口單 契約價值大概是台幣八十萬<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>大恆生大概<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">=</span>四百萬台幣<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span></div>
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比如說<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>我計劃買<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">800</span>萬
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">2800.HK , </span>我只能 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">BUY
10 </span>口 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">MINI HSI FUTURE...
</span>和一般網路上看到的杠桿操作<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span>投機的做法完全不同<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
SO </span>鼓勵大家要 把 香港期貨 當作是<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">2800.HK... </span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"></span>如果你要投機<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>要注意風險<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>控制損失在你自己可以承受的風險範圍</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-17518157358498050782016-01-14T19:01:00.003-08:002016-01-14T19:10:55.450-08:00利用恆生指數期貨 代替2800.hk<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
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所有財務金融工程的 書<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>都有提到期貨和 現貨的關係<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
期貨的公平價格<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">fair
price= </span>現貨的價格<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">-
</span>現金股息<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">+ </span>無風險利率</div>
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這個 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">fair
price</span>怎麼推演<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">?</span></div>
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比如說你想買進<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">2800.hk
, </span>這個時候你可以計算</div>
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是否買期貨會比較划算?</div>
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正常的情況來說<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>期貨的價格和現貨的價格</div>
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不能有套利的空間<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">...</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">so ex.</span>你可以借一筆錢<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
sell</span>期貨 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">(2016-6)price =
f(t), </span>買進<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">2800.hk= s(T)</span></div>
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比如說六月結算 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>你需要還錢<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>賣掉<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">2800.hk,
</span>要是當時的價格<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">=p(T),
</span>買進期貨<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>這兩個動作應該是沒有套利空間</div>
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用昨天的收盤價為<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">19817,
</span>你借到<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">19817 cash , buy
hsi=19817 (2800.hk) sell future=f(t)</span></div>
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六月結算假設當時 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">hsi=p(t)...
</span>你要還錢 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">19817
x(1+0.05%) . Sell hsi=p(t), but </span>你得到 現金股利</div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
buy future …...</span></div>
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兩個動作 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">cash
flow </span>應該相等 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">19817(cash)-
19817(2800.hk) = -19817X(1+0.05%) +p(t)</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">+dividend-(p(t)-f(t))(
</span>買進<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">future)</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">f(t)=
19817-dividend+ interest</span></div>
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港股大部分 分紅集中在三月五月九月<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
so dividend </span>目前來看是<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">4%
, </span>假設六月得到<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">2/3
dividend= 4%x(2/3)</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">6</span>月份的公平價格<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">f(t)=
19817- 19817x4%x(2/3)+19817x0.05%= around 19290 </span>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">so
I buy 2016-6 =19185. </span>還算是便宜</div>
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這個 公式的推演</div>
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期貨的公平價格<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">fair
price= </span>現貨的價格<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">-
</span>現金股息<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">+ </span>無風險利率</div>
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讓我們知道<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">:</span></div>
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<ol>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
可以利用期貨代替股票<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>香港恆生指數期貨 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">(june)
</span>已經把現金股息扣掉<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
所以沒有<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">future
</span>不發<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.</span>現金股息的問題</div>
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<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
如果沒有現金股息 分發的月份<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>逆價差買期貨比較有利 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">(
</span>例如台灣集中在<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">6789</span>月份<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>配股息<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">), so 不是在</span>這幾個月份<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
if </span>逆價差<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, buy future
</span>代替股票<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, </span>都有利</div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
只要你把現金<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>放在可以得到利息多的地方<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>就可以打敗大盤 參考這篇文章 <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/index-futures-plus-enhanced-cash.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/index-futures-plus-enhanced-cash.html</a></div>
</li>
</ol>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
這個想法很有趣<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, 需要我們思想突破, </span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
讓我們知道<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span>可以用
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">future</span>代替股票<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>你可以省掉<span style="color: red;">非常非常多的交易成本,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
可以實行<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">covered
call strategy, </span>而且還可以利用契約剩餘的現金<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span>製造<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">alpha,
</span>超越指數<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
你 自己就是明星的基金操盤人</div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">allan
</span>做了這個動作很有趣<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
sell feb future, buy june future </span>
</div>
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
預期港股短期會跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span>長期會上漲</div>
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8iWjoPBJrOdMdncLiirKfMN0II430L22MnNbRk4xMGIRCg0thxn6utaCx9TEvbNjNzj5riTtSxQojH9eDpm1Ow4gc8CwFL-5iYV8nxvkezM0gUEnSE5sE7sY_7QIwNCOYzEU4hfLanEQ/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-01-15+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%258810.46.08.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="366" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8iWjoPBJrOdMdncLiirKfMN0II430L22MnNbRk4xMGIRCg0thxn6utaCx9TEvbNjNzj5riTtSxQojH9eDpm1Ow4gc8CwFL-5iYV8nxvkezM0gUEnSE5sE7sY_7QIwNCOYzEU4hfLanEQ/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-01-15+%25E4%25B8%258A%25E5%258D%258810.46.08.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-45068355026388330072016-01-12T18:04:00.001-08:002016-01-12T20:47:26.622-08:00Index futures plus enhanced cash management----- 超越ETF 指數型基金的方法<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/10368885149848559795" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">逸文</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"> </span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/married-put-married-call-ii-put-call.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Married
put (married call) </span></span></span></span></a></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/married-put-married-call-ii-put-call.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">策略
</span></span></span></span></a><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/married-put-married-call-ii-put-call.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(II)---
put call par...</span></span></span></span></a></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /><br /><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Allan</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">兄</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">恆指剛跌穿</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Weekly
Big Band</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">下線</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">台指下快到了</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我在等待低買</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETF</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的機會</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">.</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">但還是對掉下來的刀子有介心 </span></span></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
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<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/02270788713536688382" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">鴟夷子皮</span></span></span></span></a><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"> 已針對您的文章「</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/married-put-married-call-ii-put-call.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Married
put (married call) </span></span></span></span></a></span><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/married-put-married-call-ii-put-call.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">策略
</span></span></span></span></a><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.com/2016/01/married-put-married-call-ii-put-call.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: #1155cc;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(II)---
put call
par...</span></span></span></span></a></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">」留下新意見: </span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">分批買入</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我打算</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">7500</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">以下買入一口小台</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">6000</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">再買一口</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">長期持有</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">再配合選擇權金流策略</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">每個月領現金 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /></span></span></div>
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</div>
<a name='more'></a><br />
<br />
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: #222222;">HI
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">文哥</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">皮哥</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">:</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">看到你們的留言很高興</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為你們的想法和我一模一樣</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">部落格可以跟相同思想的人士分享</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">真的是人生的一大樂事</span></span></span></span></div>
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<br /></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;"> <span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我昨天
一直思考 </span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">HSI
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的策略</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">因為他即將到達
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">BIG
TREND LOWER BAND, </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他是關鍵價位</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我猜測他要反彈</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">今天早上醒來果然大漲</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">一口</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">MINI
HSI FUTURE , </span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">大概可以獲利一萬四千台幣 ( 報酬率大於四十%)</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">真的很厲害</span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br /></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
目前為止利用艾倫交易系統, 所做的策略完全正確, 今天平倉 放空的大台指( 201601). 每一口單可以獲利$46,000, 這個實驗目前為止.成果令人 十分地高興 ( 我的下單都有PO出來)</div>
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<a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/allan-vs.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/allan-vs.html</a> </div>
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<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">皮哥的策略</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">我完全贊同</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">事實上他是一個超越指數</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">ETF</span></span><span style="color: #222222;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">的方法
</span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">(ALPHA
STRATEGY)</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: #222222;">
<span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">他的英文叫做</span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br /><span style="color: #1155cc;">Index
futures plus enhanced cash management</span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><br />FROM
<span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><br />Perspectives
on Equity Indexing</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Perspectives-Equity-Indexing-Edition-Professional/dp/1883249821"><span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">http://www.amazon.com/Perspectives-Equity-Indexing-Edition-Professional/dp/1883249821</span></span></span></span></a></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
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<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: grey;">
他的方法就是你買進期貨的時候<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">契約價值
剩下的要用現金</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="color: grey;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">買
短期的 BOND <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">得到利息<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">並且可以<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">COVER
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">期貨的保證金
波動<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,</span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: grey;">
這個想法很重要<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">可以讓你代替直接買<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ETF
, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">並且可以讓你超越指數
報酬</span></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<br /></div>
<div style="margin-bottom: 0cm; orphans: 1;">
<span style="color: grey;"> 你可以在
逆價差的時候買進<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">會廉價買到期貨
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">(
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">就是<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><FV
-FAIR VALUE,, BUY )</span></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;">
這樣就會超越指數<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">,
</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">得到<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">ALPHA
, </span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">你自己就可以成為明星
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">FUND</span></span></span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">經理人</span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;">艾倫從
買<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">ETF,
</span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">突破到
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">(</span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">買期貨<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">,
</span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">加上現金
儲備<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">),
</span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">的想法<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">,</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="color: grey;"> 真的很讚<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;">,
</span></span></span><span style="color: grey;">強烈跟網友推薦</span></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12558279700290402690noreply@blogger.com15tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3080403710783247993.post-57014452679956460882016-01-11T12:36:00.001-08:002016-01-11T21:05:04.786-08:00Married put (married call) 策略 (II)--- put call parity<h3 class="cjk">
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<span style="font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>買權賣權平價公式</b></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>(Put-Call
Parity)</b></span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>:</b></span></span></span><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-style: normal;"><b>S
+ P – C = K</b></span></span></span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Put%E2%80%93call_parity">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Put%E2%80%93call_parity</a></span></div>
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可以讓我們知道期貨和選擇權之間的關係<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>如果價格有差異</div>
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就會有 套利交易的機會<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>例如<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, </span>下面這個
舉例</div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/11/0050.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2015/11/0050.html</a></span></div>
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目前看起來空頭來臨<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>艾倫在思考如何應對<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span></div>
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之前 的想法 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
sell future , </span>買進 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">call
</span>當做保險<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">....</span></div>
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但是根據 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">put
call parity.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">p=-f
+c …. </span>事實上<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>買進<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">put, </span>和
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">(sell future , </span>買進
<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">call </span>當做保險<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">)
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他們的獲利 圖形是一樣的<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">... <a href="http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/married-put-married-call.html">http://allanlin998.blogspot.tw/2016/01/married-put-married-call.html</a></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxbjyyP3IlBXBQsyFAZnz38yll-9w2n6B-YZuLKdDZmeronqPuIpYANYa1LnJg3Rq0LzImeEzI0QBi-GapImZl68djZjHst-DVrkksVpneefwLWWfMfgxL7AGKrlO84iI6Gkwz_rJYAy0/s1600/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-01-07+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25889.40.29.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"><img border="0" height="430" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxbjyyP3IlBXBQsyFAZnz38yll-9w2n6B-YZuLKdDZmeronqPuIpYANYa1LnJg3Rq0LzImeEzI0QBi-GapImZl68djZjHst-DVrkksVpneefwLWWfMfgxL7AGKrlO84iI6Gkwz_rJYAy0/s640/%25E8%259E%25A2%25E5%25B9%2595%25E5%25BF%25AB%25E7%2585%25A7+2016-01-07+%25E4%25B8%258B%25E5%258D%25889.40.29.png" width="640" /></a></div>
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但是實際上的操作<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>這兩個策略真的一樣嗎<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">?</span></div>
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結論是<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">:
</span>不一樣<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, </span>如果反向上漲<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
buy put </span>會變成沒有價值<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">but
(sell future , </span>買進 <span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">call
</span>當做保險<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">)</span></div>
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這當中 有兩個部位可以做調整<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">Allan
</span>整理 林萬佳的書<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
<a href="http://www.m.sanmin.com.tw/Product/index/99u155l7e106G79y102r68a105m122PXYqARz78YbH">http://www.m.sanmin.com.tw/Product/index/99u155l7e106G79y102r68a105m122PXYqARz78YbH</a></span></div>
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調整的方法如下<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">:
</span>用多頭作為例子<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>空 頭<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span>就自己反過來想</div>
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<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">buy
stock( future) + buy put</span></div>
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<ol>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
繼續上漲<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
SELL TO CLOSE PUT , BUY NEW PUT ( </span>上升的價格<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">).
</span>鎖定獲利</div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
繼續下跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, sell FUTURE... LET PUT run , </span>繼續獲利<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.</span></div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
繼續下跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, sell FUTURE... LET PUT run , </span>繼續獲利<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">.
Sell call , </span>
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拿回一些權利金</div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
繼續下跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, sell FUTURE... sell put .. </span>變成多頭價差</div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
繼續下跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, sell FUTURE... sell calendar / diagonal put ..--->.</span>看跌價差</div>
</li>
<li><div style="margin-bottom: 0cm;">
繼續下跌<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">, sell FUTURE... sell call and put ..--->.iron condor</span></div>
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今天<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span>港股HSI ..跌破兩萬點<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>如果繼續下跌</div>
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會引發 停損的 賣壓<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>可以看情形<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,
</span>利用期貨選擇權<span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">,</span>搶反彈或者是放空</div>
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( 這個圖只有計算到 上個禮拜).. now . 準備跌破大趨勢</div>
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